Free signup + 7 days PRO included Create my account

GB @ DET prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 7 · Ford Field
GBGB
Green Bay Packers
Away
★Follow
Record 4-2
VS
25/10/2026
Kickoff 21:25 (Paris time)
DETDET
Detroit Lions
Home
★Follow
Record 3-2
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
GBGB
+3.5
Spread
DETDET
-3.5
Total (O/U) 55.5 points
nflverse reference lines
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Green Bay Packers
Jonathan Ford · DT
Calf — est. return 11/15
Injured Reserve
Luke Musgrave · TE
Neck — est. return 11/25
Out
Micah Parsons · DE
Knee - ACL — est. return 10/29
Out
Zaire Franklin · LB
Shin — est. return 10/29
Out
Aaron Banks · G
Knee — est. return 10/25
Questionable
Benjamin St-Juste · CB
Hamstring — est. return 10/25
Questionable
Detroit Lions
Ben Bartch · G
Foot — est. return 11/22
Injured Reserve
Devin White · LB
Forearm — est. return 11/22
Injured Reserve
Kerby Joseph · S
Knee — est. return 11/01
Out
Tom Kennedy · WR
Knee - MCL — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Ahmed Hassanein · DE
Active
Amon-Ra St. Brown · WR
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Projected marginDET -4.4CatBoost model
Market lineDET -3.5reference spread
Projected total54.3points (line 55.5)
View full analysis
No official pick on this game. The analysis below reflects our model's reading (trend), but no market cleared our validation thresholds to become an official ProbWin pick.

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Detroit reçoit à Ford Field, stade à toit couvert, lors de la semaine 7, avec 3 victoires et 2 défaites en 5 matchs. Green Bay se déplace avec 4 victoires et 2 défaites en 6 matchs.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

● Detroit Lions : Kerby Joseph (S) forfait, genou ; Ben Bartch (G), Devin White (LB) et Tom Kennedy (WR) sur la liste des blessés longue durée.
● Green Bay Packers : Micah Parsons (DE) et Luke Musgrave (TE) forfaits ; Aaron Banks (G), Benjamin St-Juste (CB), Bo Melton (WR) et Jordon Riley (DT) incertains ; 2 autres absents.

LECTURE DU MATCH

Detroit est privé d'un safety, d'un guard, d'un linebacker et d'un wide receiver pour ce match, avec Jared Goff disponible au poste de quarterback. Green Bay compte deux forfaits, au poste de defensive end et de tight end, et quatre joueurs incertains, dont un guard, un cornerback, un wide receiver et un defensive tackle. Jordan Love, disponible, débute au quarterback. Le toit couvert écarte toute influence de la météo : le facteur de bascule se jouera plutôt sur les pertes de balle et l'efficacité en zone rouge. Le statut de Parsons et des quatre incertains pèsera sur l'équilibre du pass rush et de la ligne offensive côté Green Bay.

L'avocat du diable

Notre lecture pourrait changer si les quatre joueurs incertains de Green Bay étaient finalement tous disponibles, ce qui modifierait nettement l'état de son effectif.

Verdict Probwin

Notre modèle ne dégage ni handicap ni total sur ce match : nous ne le jouons pas.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
27.0vs29.0
Points allowed/g
21.0vs29.0
Pass EPA
8.44vs2.72
Turnover diff.
0.4vs0.6
Record
4-2vs3-2
Roof: dome Surface: fieldturf Ford Field — Detroit, MI
Full access to the analysis

Unlock all picks and the full analysis

The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, absences, referee stats and the best price from around ten bookmakers — no commitment.

Trial
7 days
Free
Get started →
No credit card
POPULAR
Day Pass
2,99€
24h access
Unlock today →
No renewal
PRO
19€/mo
All picks
See pricing →
1-click cancel

Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market

Head-to-head

3GB
DET2
27/11/25GB — DET31 – 24
07/09/25DET — GB13 – 27
05/12/24GB — DET31 – 34
03/11/24DET — GB24 – 14
23/11/23GB — DET29 – 22

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

GB STAT DET
21.0
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
32.8
17.2
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
29.6
321
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
412
259
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
297
62
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
115
+1.0
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
+0.8
+1.9
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+14.8
37.5%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
36.7%

Frequently asked questions

When was GB @ DET played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-10-25.

Where can I find the prediction for GB @ DET?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

GAMBLING PROHIBITED FOR MINORS. Gambling carries risks: debt, addiction, social isolation. Help & responsible play · BeGambleAware · GamCare: 0808 802 0133 · NCPG Helpline: 1-800-522-4700