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MIA @ MIN prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 4 · U.S. Bank Stadium
MIAMIA
Miami Dolphins
Away
★Follow
Record 1-6
VS
04/10/2026
Kickoff 22:05 (Paris time)
MINMIN
Minnesota Vikings
Home
★Follow
Record 6-1
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
MIAMIA
+10.0
Spread
MINMIN
-10.0
Total (O/U) 38.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official pick MIA +10
Odds
1.90
Market
Spread
Taken on 04/10 · 13:05 at odds of 1.90
AI Trend UNDER 38.5
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals (points)
Taken on 04/10 · 13:05 at odds of 1.91
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Miami Dolphins
Kadyn Proctor · OT
Concussion — est. return 11/08
Out
Malik Herring · DE
Undisclosed — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Caleb Douglas · WR
Active
Christian Haynes · G
Active
Dante Trader Jr. · S
Active
Greg Dulcich · TE
Active
Minnesota Vikings
Christian Darrisaw · OT
Shoulder — est. return 11/09
Questionable
Kyler Murray · QB
Hamstring — est. return 11/09
Questionable
Theo Jackson · S
Quadriceps — est. return 11/09
Questionable
Aaron Jones Sr. · RB
Active
Blake Cashman · LB
Active
Brian O'Neill · OT
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Projected marginMIN -6.0CatBoost model
Market lineMIN -10.0reference spread
Projected total35.7points (line 38.5)
Best odds at pick1.90pinnacle
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Spread: MIA +10 @ 1.900 [OFFICIEL]
Total: UNDER 38.5 @ 1.909 [TENDANCE]

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Semaine 4 NFL — U.S. Bank Stadium. Analyse synthétique générée automatiquement à partir des données du modèle (le rédactionnel complet n'a pas pu être produit pour ce match).

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread MIA +10 — edge 3.95.

Total UNDER 38.5 — edge 2.84.

Repères marché (nflverse) : spread domicile 10.0 · total 38.5

Verdict Probwin

Pick officiel du modèle sur ce match — conviction conforme au seuil de publication.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
23.2vs17.6
Points allowed/g
16.2vs18.8
Pass EPA
1.39vs-7.88
Turnover diff.
0.8vs-1.2
Record
1-6vs6-1
Roof: dome Surface: sportturf U.S. Bank Stadium — Minneapolis, MN
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Head-to-head

0MIA
MIN2
16/10/22MIN — MIA24 – 16
16/12/18MIA — MIN17 – 41

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

MIA STAT MIN
13.2
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
22.0
28.2
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
10.8
288
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
271
187
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
150
101
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
120
0.0
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
+1.8
-6.3
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
-4.1
40.9%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
28.8%

Frequently asked questions

When was MIA @ MIN played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-10-04.

Where can I find the prediction for MIA @ MIN?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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