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KC @ MIA prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 3 · Hard Rock Stadium
KCKC
Kansas City Chiefs
Away
★Follow
Record 3-0
VS
27/09/2026
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
MIAMIA
Miami Dolphins
Home
★Follow
Record 0-3
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
KCKC
-10.0
Spread
MIAMIA
+10.0
Total (O/U) 45.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official MIA +10.5
Edge vs market
—
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 27/09 · 13:05 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend UNDER 45.5
Edge vs market
—
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals (points)
Pick taken on 27/09 · 13:05 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Kansas City Chiefs
Josh Simmons · OT
Back — est. return 10/04
Questionable
L'Jarius Sneed · CB
Knee — est. return 10/04
Questionable
Bryson Eason · DT
Active
Chamarri Conner · S
Active
Chris Jones · DT
Active
Cyrus Allen · WR
Active
Miami Dolphins
De'Von Achane · RB
Knee - ACL — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Storm Duck · CB
Knee — est. return 10/11
Out
Aaron Brewer · C
Hand — est. return 10/04
Questionable
Caleb Douglas · WR
Ankle — est. return 10/04
Questionable
Chris Bell · WR
Knee — est. return 10/04
Questionable
Robert Beal Jr. · DE
Hamstring — est. return 10/04
Questionable
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Projected marginKC -4.3CatBoost model
Market lineKC -10.0reference spread
Projected total41.7points (line 45.5)
Best odds at pick1.91sport888
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Spread: MIA +10.5 @ 1.910 [OFFICIEL]
Total: UNDER 45.5 @ 1.909 [TENDANCE]

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Semaine 3 NFL — Hard Rock Stadium. Analyse synthétique générée automatiquement à partir des données du modèle (le rédactionnel complet n'a pas pu être produit pour ce match).

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread MIA +10.5 — edge 5.69.

Total UNDER 45.5 — edge 3.84.

Repères marché (nflverse) : spread domicile -10.0 · total 45.5

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

● Stade extérieur : la météo peut peser sur le score
Verdict Probwin

Pick officiel du modèle sur ce match — conviction conforme au seuil de publication.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
18.6vs23.2
Points allowed/g
21.8vs16.2
Pass EPA
-0.63vs1.39
Turnover diff.
-1.2vs0.8
Record
3-0vs0-3
Roof: outdoors Surface: grass Hard Rock Stadium — Miami Gardens, FL
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Head-to-head

4KC
MIA0
13/01/24MIA — KC7 – 26
05/11/23MIA — KC14 – 21
13/12/20KC — MIA33 – 27
24/12/17MIA — KC13 – 29

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

KC STAT MIA
19.6
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
15.4
20.0
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
32.4
299
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
300
181
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
197
119
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
103
+0.6
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-0.4
-1.5
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
-4.7
32.8%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
33.3%

Frequently asked questions

When was KC @ MIA played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-09-27.

Where can I find the prediction for KC @ MIA?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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