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WAS @ DAL prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 2 · AT&T Stadium
WASWAS
Washington Commanders
Away
★Follow
Record 1-2
VS
20/09/2026
Kickoff 22:25 (Paris time)
DALDAL
Dallas Cowboys
Home
★Follow
Record 1-2
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
WASWAS
+3.5
Spread
DALDAL
-3.5
Total (O/U) 51.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official WAS +4.5
Edge vs market
—
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 20/09 · 13:05 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend UNDER 50.5
Edge vs market
—
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals (points)
Pick taken on 20/09 · 13:05 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Washington Commanders
Leo Chenal · LB
Neck — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Nick Cross · S
Illness — est. return 10/11
Out
Sam Cosmi · G
Concussion — est. return 10/11
Out
Ben Sinnott · TE
Ribs — est. return 10/04
Questionable
Charles Omenihu · DE
Ankle — est. return 10/04
Questionable
Chig Okonkwo · TE
Hamstring — est. return 10/04
Questionable
Dallas Cowboys
Jalen Thompson · S
Hamstring — est. return 11/01
Injured Reserve
Jonathan Bullard · DT
Calf — est. return 11/01
Injured Reserve
P.J. Locke · S
Foot — est. return 10/26
Injured Reserve
Tyler Smith · G
Thumb — est. return 10/08
Injured Reserve
Cobie Durant · CB
Hamstring — est. return 10/04
Doubtful
DeMarvion Overshown · LB
Hamstring — est. return 10/04
Questionable
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Projected marginWAS -0.2CatBoost model
Market lineDAL -3.5reference spread
Projected total48.9points (line 51.5)
Best odds at pick1.91sport888
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Spread: WAS +4.5 @ 1.910 [OFFICIEL]
Total: UNDER 50.5 @ 1.909 [TENDANCE]

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Semaine 2 NFL — AT&T Stadium. Analyse synthétique générée automatiquement à partir des données du modèle (le rédactionnel complet n'a pas pu être produit pour ce match).

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread WAS +4.5 — edge 4.67.

Total UNDER 50.5 — edge 1.59.

Repères marché (nflverse) : spread domicile 3.5 · total 50.5

Verdict Probwin

Pick officiel du modèle sur ce match — conviction conforme au seuil de publication.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
18.0vs28.8
Points allowed/g
27.8vs28.6
Pass EPA
-0.20vs5.37
Turnover diff.
-0.8vs-1.0
Record
1-2vs1-2
Roof: closed Surface: matrixturf AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX
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Head-to-head

1WAS
DAL4
25/12/25DAL — WAS30 – 23
19/10/25WAS — DAL22 – 44
05/01/25WAS — DAL23 – 19
24/11/24DAL — WAS34 – 26
07/01/24DAL — WAS38 – 10

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

WAS STAT DAL
23.2
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
22.0
24.2
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
30.6
299
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
365
168
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
235
131
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
131
-0.4
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-0.2
+2.0
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+6.2
32.1%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
41.7%

Frequently asked questions

When was WAS @ DAL played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-09-20.

Where can I find the prediction for WAS @ DAL?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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