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HOU @ PIT prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 19 · Acrisure Stadium
HOUHOU
Houston Texans
Away
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Record 12-5
VS
12/01/2026
Kickoff 02:00 (Paris time)
PITPIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
Home
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Record 10-7
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
HOUHOU
-3.0
Spread
PITPIT
+3.0
Total (O/U) 38.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official PIT +3
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 12/01 à 09:01 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Houston Texans
Ed Ingram · G
Groin — est. return 09/27
Out
Henry To'oTo'o · LB
Shoulder — est. return 10/18
Injured Reserve
Jadeveon Clowney · DE
Knee — est. return 09/27
Out
Jake Hummel · LB
Groin — est. return 09/27
Out
Kayden McDonald · DT
Ankle — est. return 10/11
Injured Reserve
Nico Collins · WR
Hamstring — est. return 09/27
Out
Pittsburgh Steelers
DeShon Elliott · S
Undisclosed — est. return 10/11
Injured Reserve
Joey Porter Jr. · CB
Back — est. return 09/27
Out
Michael Pittman Jr. · WR
Ankle — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Troy Fautanu · OT
Ankle — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Aaron Rodgers · QB
Active
Asante Samuel Jr. · CB
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
23.8vs24.8
Points allowed/g
15.6vs21.2
Pass EPA
3.24vs3.19
Turnover diff.
1.6vs0.8
Record
12-5vs10-7
Roof: outdoors Surface: grass Acrisure Stadium — Pittsburgh, PA
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Head-to-head

1HOU
PIT2
01/10/23PIT — HOU6 – 30
27/09/20HOU — PIT21 – 28
25/12/17PIT — HOU34 – 6

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

HOU STAT PIT
28.2
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
23.2
19.4
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
19.6
333
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
373
220
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
247
113
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
126
+1.6
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
+0.8
+2.2
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+7.6
42.0%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
43.8%

Frequently asked questions

When was HOU @ PIT played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-01-12.

Where can I find the prediction for HOU @ PIT?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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