Free signup + 7 days PRO included Create my account

NO @ ATL prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 18 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NONO
New Orleans Saints
Away
★Follow
Record 6-11
VS
04/01/2026
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
ATLATL
Atlanta Falcons
Home
★Follow
Record 8-9
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
NONO
+4.5
Spread
ATLATL
-4.5
Total (O/U) 43.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official pick NO +3
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Taken on 30/12 · 21:55 at odds of 1.91
INJURIES & ABSENCES
New Orleans Saints
Jordyn Tyson · WR
Hamstring — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
Travis Etienne Jr. · RB
Hamstring — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
CJ Donaldson · RB
Shoulder — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Cesar Ruiz · G
Knee — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Justin Reid · S
Concussion — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Nathan Shepherd · DT
Illness — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Atlanta Falcons
Anterio Thompson · DT
Undisclosed — est. return 02/15
Out
Beaux Collins · WR
Hip — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
Billy Bowman Jr. · CB
Hamstring — est. return 11/08
Out
Brian Robinson Jr. · RB
Hamstring — est. return 11/08
Out
Cameron Williams · OL
Ankle — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
Divine Deablo · LB
Forearm — est. return 11/08
Out
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
17.6vs22.6
Points allowed/g
17.8vs26.4
Pass EPA
-1.45vs1.15
Turnover diff.
0.4vs-0.2
Record
6-11vs8-9
Roof: closed Surface: fieldturf Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta, GA
Full access to the analysis

Unlock all picks and the full analysis

The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, absences, referee stats and the best price from around ten bookmakers — no commitment.

Trial
7 days
Free
Get started →
No credit card
POPULAR
Day Pass
2,99€
24h access
Unlock today →
No renewal
PRO
19€/mo
All picks
See pricing →
1-click cancel

Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market

Head-to-head

2NO
ATL3
23/11/25ATL — NO24 – 10
10/11/24ATL — NO17 – 20
29/09/24NO — ATL24 – 26
07/01/24ATL — NO17 – 48
26/11/23NO — ATL15 – 24

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

NO STAT ATL
24.8
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
23.0
18.0
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
27.0
365
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
373
267
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
218
99
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
155
+0.2
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
+0.2
+3.0
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+2.6
45.2%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
35.9%

Frequently asked questions

When was NO @ ATL played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-01-04.

Where can I find the prediction for NO @ ATL?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

GAMBLING PROHIBITED FOR MINORS. Gambling carries risks: debt, addiction, social isolation. Help & responsible play · BeGambleAware · GamCare: 0808 802 0133 · NCPG Helpline: 1-800-522-4700