MIA @ NE prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis
NFL · Week 18 · Gillette Stadium
VS
04/01/2026
Kickoff 22:25 (Paris time)
Kickoff 22:25 (Paris time)
Analysis published before kickoff
Best odds across books (CLV)
Transparent method
Spread
MIA
+14.0
MIA
Spread
NE
-14.0
NE
Total (O/U)
44.5
points
nflverse reference lines
Our picks for this match
Official
MIA +11.5
Edge vs market
—
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 30/12 à 21:55 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Miami DolphinsChop Robinson
Kyle Louis
Ronnie Harrison Jr.
Tucker Addington
Brady Cook
Caleb Douglas
New England PatriotsA.J. Brown
Dametrious Crownover
Ben Brown
Carlton Davis III
Dre'Mont Jones
Andy Borregales
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.
Key Factors
Points scored/g
23.2vs29.0
Points allowed/g
16.2vs21.4
Pass EPA
1.39vs6.68
Turnover diff.
0.8vs0.0
Record
7-10vs14-3
Roof: outdoors
Surface: fieldturf
Gillette Stadium — Foxborough, MA
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Head-to-head
4MIA
NE1
14/09/25NE — MIA33 – 27
24/11/24NE — MIA15 – 34
06/10/24MIA — NE15 – 10
29/10/23NE — MIA17 – 31
17/09/23MIA — NE24 – 17
Form & statistics
Team Comparison
8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)
MIA
STAT
NE
22.2
32.0
23.4
20.8
343
423
194
279
149
143
+0.6
+0.2
+3.1
+14.2
26.9%
42.1%
Frequently asked questions
When was MIA @ NE played?
This NFL game was played on 2026-01-04.
Where can I find the prediction for MIA @ NE?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
