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LAC @ DEN prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 18 · Empower Field at Mile High
LACLAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Away
★Follow
Record 11-6
VS
04/01/2026
Kickoff 22:25 (Paris time)
DENDEN
Denver Broncos
Home
★Follow
Record 14-3
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
LACLAC
+14.5
Spread
DENDEN
-14.5
Total (O/U) 37.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official pick LAC +12.5
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Taken on 30/12 · 21:55 at odds of 1.91
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Los Angeles Chargers
Brenen Thompson · WR
Quadriceps — est. return 11/08
Out
David Njoku · TE
Lower Leg — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
Deane Leonard · CB
Concussion — est. return 11/08
Out
Denzel Perryman · LB
Undisclosed — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
Derwin James Jr. · S
Hamstring — est. return 11/29
Injured Reserve
Donte Jackson · CB
Hamstring — est. return 11/08
Out
Denver Broncos
RJ Harvey · RB
Knee — est. return 12/06
Injured Reserve
Talanoa Hufanga · S
Ankle — est. return 11/08
Out
Brandon Jones · S
Hamstring — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Kris Abrams-Draine · CB
Ankle — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Alex Singleton · LB
Active
Bo Nix · QB
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
20.0vs23.4
Points allowed/g
18.2vs19.0
Pass EPA
-7.06vs6.08
Turnover diff.
1.0vs0.2
Record
11-6vs14-3
Roof: outdoors Surface: grass Empower Field at Mile High — Denver, CO
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Head-to-head

3LAC
DEN2
21/09/25DEN — LAC20 – 23
19/12/24DEN — LAC27 – 34
13/10/24LAC — DEN23 – 16
31/12/23LAC — DEN9 – 16
10/12/23DEN — LAC24 – 7

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

LAC STAT DEN
23.8
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
25.0
16.6
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
23.2
346
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
386
209
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
274
137
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
112
+1.2
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-0.4
+1.8
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+8.6
48.7%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
48.6%

Frequently asked questions

When was LAC @ DEN played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-01-04.

Where can I find the prediction for LAC @ DEN?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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