LAC @ DEN prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis
NFL · Week 18 · Empower Field at Mile High
VS
04/01/2026
Kickoff 22:25 (Paris time)
Kickoff 22:25 (Paris time)
Analysis published before kickoff
Best odds across books (CLV)
Transparent method
Spread
LAC
+14.5
LAC
Spread
DEN
-14.5
DEN
Total (O/U)
37.5
points
nflverse reference lines
Our picks for this match
Official
LAC +12.5
Edge vs market
—
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 30/12 à 21:55 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Los Angeles ChargersElijah Molden
KeAndre Lambert-Smith
Trey Pipkins III
Deane Leonard
Ladd McConkey
Alex Harkey
Denver BroncosCaleb Lohner
Frank Crum
Jonathon Cooper
Levelle Bailey
Marvin Mims Jr.
Nick Gargiulo
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.
Key Factors
Points scored/g
20.0vs23.4
Points allowed/g
18.2vs19.0
Pass EPA
-7.06vs6.08
Turnover diff.
1.0vs0.2
Record
11-6vs14-3
Roof: outdoors
Surface: grass
Empower Field at Mile High — Denver, CO
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Head-to-head
3LAC
DEN2
21/09/25DEN — LAC20 – 23
19/12/24DEN — LAC27 – 34
13/10/24LAC — DEN23 – 16
31/12/23LAC — DEN9 – 16
10/12/23DEN — LAC24 – 7
Form & statistics
Team Comparison
8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)
LAC
STAT
DEN
23.8
25.0
16.6
23.2
346
386
209
274
137
112
+1.2
-0.4
+1.8
+8.6
48.7%
48.6%
Frequently asked questions
When was LAC @ DEN played?
This NFL game was played on 2026-01-04.
Where can I find the prediction for LAC @ DEN?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
