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PIT @ DET prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 16 · Ford Field
PITPIT
Pittsburgh Steelers
Away
Follow
Record 10-7
VS
21/12/2025
Kickoff 22:25 (Paris time)
DETDET
Detroit Lions
Home
Follow
Record 9-8
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
PITPIT
+7.5
Spread
DETDET
-7.5
Total (O/U) 52.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official PIT +7.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 20/12 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Pittsburgh Steelers
DeShon Elliott · S
Undisclosed — est. return 10/11
Injured Reserve
Joey Porter Jr. · CB
Back — est. return 09/27
Out
Michael Pittman Jr. · WR
Ankle — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Troy Fautanu · OT
Ankle — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Aaron Rodgers · QB
Active
Asante Samuel Jr. · CB
Active
Detroit Lions
Ahmed Hassanein · DE
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Blake Miller · OT
Knee — est. return 09/27
Out
Christian Mahogany · G
Hip — est. return 09/27
Out
Ennis Rakestraw Jr. · CB
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Jimmy Rolder · LB
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Keith Abney II · CB
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
24.8vs29.0
Points allowed/g
21.2vs29.0
Pass EPA
3.19vs2.72
Turnover diff.
0.8vs0.6
Record
10-7vs9-8
Roof: dome Surface: fieldturf Ford Field — Detroit, MI
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Head-to-head

2PIT
DET0
14/11/21DET — PIT16 – 16
29/10/17PIT — DET20 – 15

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

PIT STAT DET
24.8
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
29.0
21.2
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
29.0
313
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
410
208
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
287
105
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
122
+0.8
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
+0.6
+4.2
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+5.8
46.0%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
39.3%

Frequently asked questions

When was PIT @ DET played?

This NFL game was played on 2025-12-21.

Where can I find the prediction for PIT @ DET?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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