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LV @ HOU prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 16 · NRG Stadium
LVLV
Las Vegas Raiders
Away
Follow
Record 3-14
VS
21/12/2025
Kickoff 22:25 (Paris time)
HOUHOU
Houston Texans
Home
Follow
Record 12-5
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
LVLV
+14.5
Spread
HOUHOU
-14.5
Total (O/U) 39.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official LV +14.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 20/12 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Las Vegas Raiders
Darien Porter · CB
Foot — est. return 09/27
Out
Brock Bowers · TE
Knee - Meniscus — est. return 09/20
Doubtful
Aidan O'Connell · QB
Personal — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Ashton Jeanty · RB
Active
Bryce Cabeldue · G
Active
Cody Lindenberg · LB
Active
Houston Texans
Ed Ingram · G
Groin — est. return 09/27
Out
Henry To'oTo'o · LB
Shoulder — est. return 10/18
Injured Reserve
Jadeveon Clowney · DE
Knee — est. return 09/27
Out
Jake Hummel · LB
Groin — est. return 09/27
Out
Kayden McDonald · DT
Ankle — est. return 10/11
Injured Reserve
Nico Collins · WR
Hamstring — est. return 09/27
Out
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
11.4vs23.8
Points allowed/g
28.6vs15.6
Pass EPA
-10.80vs3.24
Turnover diff.
0.0vs1.6
Record
3-14vs12-5
Roof: closed Surface: astroturf NRG Stadium — Houston, TX
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Head-to-head

1LV
HOU0
23/10/22HOU — LV20 – 38

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

LV STAT HOU
11.4
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
23.8
28.6
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
15.6
234
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
337
193
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
233
41
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
103
0.0
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
+1.6
-15.1
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+3.0
27.6%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
39.1%

Frequently asked questions

When was LV @ HOU played?

This NFL game was played on 2025-12-21.

Where can I find the prediction for LV @ HOU?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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