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BUF @ CLE prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 16 · FirstEnergy Stadium
BUFBUF
Buffalo Bills
Away
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Record 12-5
VS
21/12/2025
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
CLECLE
Cleveland Browns
Home
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Record 5-12
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
BUFBUF
-10.5
Spread
CLECLE
+10.5
Total (O/U) 41.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official CLE +10.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 20/12 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Buffalo Bills
Ar'maj Reed-Adams · G
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Ed Oliver · DT
Hip — est. return 09/27
Out
Jalon Kilgore · S
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Jude Bowry · OT
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Skyler Bell · WR
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
T.J. Sanders · DT
Knee — est. return 09/27
Out
Cleveland Browns
Dillon Gabriel · QB
Back — est. return 10/11
Injured Reserve
Dylan Sampson · RB
Knee — est. return 10/18
Injured Reserve
Jeremiah Owusu-Koramoah · LB
Neck — est. return 02/15
Out
Kendrick Green · G
Undisclosed — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Teven Jenkins · G
Back — est. return 09/27
Out
Tyson Campbell · CB
Ankle — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
32.6vs16.0
Points allowed/g
25.4vs24.2
Pass EPA
6.14vs-9.49
Turnover diff.
0.0vs-1.0
Record
12-5vs5-12
Roof: outdoors Surface: grass FirstEnergy Stadium — Cleveland, OH
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Head-to-head

2BUF
CLE1
20/11/22CLE — BUF23 – 31
10/11/19BUF — CLE16 – 19
18/12/16CLE — BUF13 – 33

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

BUF STAT CLE
32.6
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
16.0
25.4
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
24.2
397
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
287
227
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
203
169
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
84
0.0
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-1.0
+12.4
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
-15.4
50.0%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
27.7%

Frequently asked questions

When was BUF @ CLE played?

This NFL game was played on 2025-12-21.

Where can I find the prediction for BUF @ CLE?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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