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NYJ @ JAX prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 15 · TIAA Bank Stadium
NYJNYJ
New York Jets
Away
Follow
Record 3-14
VS
14/12/2025
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
JAXJAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
Home
Follow
Record 13-4
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
NYJNYJ
+13.5
Spread
JAXJAX
-13.5
Total (O/U) 40.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official NYJ +13.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 13/12 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
New York Jets
Joseph Ossai · DE
Foot — est. return 09/27
Out
Kene Nwangwu · RB
Back — est. return 09/27
Out
Minkah Fitzpatrick · S
Groin — est. return 09/27
Out
Omar Cooper Jr. · WR
Ankle — est. return 09/27
Out
Tim Patrick · WR
Groin — est. return 10/11
Injured Reserve
Will McDonald IV · DE
Ankle — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Jacksonville Jaguars
B.J. Green II · DE
Elbow — est. return 10/18
Injured Reserve
Bhayshul Tuten · RB
Active
Brenton Strange · TE
Active
Brian Thomas Jr. · WR
Active
Bryan Thomas Jr. · DE
Active
CJ Williams · WR
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
16.2vs34.2
Points allowed/g
31.2vs14.4
Pass EPA
-8.07vs6.58
Turnover diff.
-1.8vs0.4
Record
3-14vs13-4
Roof: outdoors Surface: grass TIAA Bank Stadium — Jacksonville, FL
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Head-to-head

2NYJ
JAX3
15/12/24NYJ — JAX32 – 25
22/12/22JAX — NYJ19 – 3
26/12/21JAX — NYJ21 – 26
27/10/19NYJ — JAX15 – 29
30/09/18NYJ — JAX12 – 31

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

NYJ STAT JAX
17.6
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
30.4
25.6
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
17.6
251
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
328
147
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
209
105
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
120
-1.6
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
0.0
-4.6
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
-0.3
35.4%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
37.9%

Frequently asked questions

When was NYJ @ JAX played?

This NFL game was played on 2025-12-14.

Where can I find the prediction for NYJ @ JAX?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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