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BUF @ NE prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 15 · Gillette Stadium
BUFBUF
Buffalo Bills
Away
Follow
Record 12-5
VS
14/12/2025
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
NENE
New England Patriots
Home
Follow
Record 14-3
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
BUFBUF
-2.5
Spread
NENE
+2.5
Total (O/U) 49.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official NE +2.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 13/12 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Buffalo Bills
Ar'maj Reed-Adams · G
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Ed Oliver · DT
Hip — est. return 09/27
Out
Jalon Kilgore · S
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Jude Bowry · OT
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Skyler Bell · WR
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
T.J. Sanders · DT
Knee — est. return 09/27
Out
New England Patriots
A.J. Brown · WR
Ankle — est. return 11/01
Injured Reserve
Dametrious Crownover · OT
Knee — est. return 09/27
Out
Ben Brown · C
Knee — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Carlton Davis III · CB
Neck — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Dre'Mont Jones · DE
Foot — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Andy Borregales · PK
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
32.6vs29.0
Points allowed/g
25.4vs21.4
Pass EPA
6.14vs6.68
Turnover diff.
0.0vs0.0
Record
12-5vs14-3
Roof: outdoors Surface: fieldturf Gillette Stadium — Foxborough, MA
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Head-to-head

2BUF
NE3
05/10/25NE — BUF23 – 20
05/01/25BUF — NE16 – 23
22/12/24NE — BUF21 – 24
31/12/23NE — BUF21 – 27
22/10/23BUF — NE25 – 29

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

BUF STAT NE
28.2
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
27.6
25.2
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
19.0
403
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
393
250
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
277
153
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
116
-0.4
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-0.2
+7.2
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+7.2
44.1%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
46.9%

Frequently asked questions

When was BUF @ NE played?

This NFL game was played on 2025-12-14.

Where can I find the prediction for BUF @ NE?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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