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KC @ DAL prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 13 · AT&T Stadium
KCKC
Kansas City Chiefs
Away
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Record 6-11
VS
27/11/2025
Kickoff 22:30 (Paris time)
DALDAL
Dallas Cowboys
Home
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Record 7-9-1
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
KCKC
-3.5
Spread
DALDAL
+3.5
Total (O/U) 53.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official DAL +3.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 26/11 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Kansas City Chiefs
Cooper McDonald · LB
Knee — est. return 10/25
Injured Reserve
Jimmy Holiday · WR
Undisclosed — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Omarr Norman-Lott · DT
Knee - ACL — est. return 10/18
Out
Chris Jones · DT
Calf — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Mansoor Delane · CB
Shoulder — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Alohi Gilman · S
Active
Dallas Cowboys
DeMarvion Overshown · LB
Hamstring — est. return 09/27
Out
Malik Davis · RB
Hip — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Malik Hooker · S
Forearm — est. return 09/27
Out
Ajani Cornelius · OT
Active
Brandon Aubrey · PK
Active
Brevyn Spann-Ford · TE
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
18.6vs28.8
Points allowed/g
21.8vs28.6
Pass EPA
-0.63vs5.37
Turnover diff.
-1.2vs-1.0
Record
6-11vs7-9-1
Roof: closed Surface: matrixturf AT&T Stadium — Arlington, TX
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Head-to-head

1KC
DAL1
21/11/21DAL — KC9 – 19
05/11/17KC — DAL17 – 28

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

KC STAT DAL
24.4
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
28.4
15.4
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
26.0
411
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
402
293
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
276
119
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
126
-0.6
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-0.8
+7.6
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+5.6
42.4%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
43.6%

Frequently asked questions

When was KC @ DAL played?

This NFL game was played on 2025-11-27.

Where can I find the prediction for KC @ DAL?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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