Free signup + 7 days PRO included Create my account

JAX @ ARI prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 12 · State Farm Stadium
JAXJAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
Away
Follow
Record 13-4
VS
23/11/2025
Kickoff 22:05 (Paris time)
ARIARI
Arizona Cardinals
Home
Follow
Record 3-14
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
JAXJAX
-2.5
Spread
ARIARI
+2.5
Total (O/U) 47.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official ARI +2.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 22/11 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Jacksonville Jaguars
B.J. Green II · DE
Elbow — est. return 10/18
Injured Reserve
Bhayshul Tuten · RB
Active
Brenton Strange · TE
Active
Brian Thomas Jr. · WR
Active
Bryan Thomas Jr. · DE
Active
CJ Williams · WR
Active
Arizona Cardinals
Garrett Williams · CB
Achilles — est. return 09/20
Out
Kaleb Proctor · DT
Knee - Meniscus — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Kitan Crawford · S
Ankle — est. return 10/18
Injured Reserve
Andrew Billings · DT
Knee — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Dadrion Taylor-Demerson · S
Ribs — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Isaac Seumalo · G
Shoulder — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
34.2vs20.0
Points allowed/g
14.4vs34.6
Pass EPA
6.58vs-0.66
Turnover diff.
0.4vs-0.8
Record
13-4vs3-14
Roof: closed Surface: grass State Farm Stadium — Glendale, AZ
Le vestiaire ProbWin La boutique →
Hoodie « Ça passait laaarge » Tee « Sponsor officiel de mon bookmaker » Mug « Une coupe de champagne » Casquette ProbWin Carnet de Bankroll Tee « Ça passait laaarge » Tee ProbWin logo
Full access to the analysis

Unlock all picks and the full analysis

The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, line-ups, injuries, referee and odds from 11 bookmakers — no commitment.

Trial
7 days
Free
Get started →
No credit card
POPULAR
Day Pass
2,99€
24h access
Unlock today →
No renewal
PRO
19€/mo
All picks
See pricing →
1-click cancel

Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market

Head-to-head

0JAX
ARI2
26/09/21ARI — JAX31 – 19
26/11/17JAX — ARI24 – 27

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

JAX STAT ARI
22.6
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
24.2
25.2
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
32.0
335
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
407
217
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
314
118
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
93
0.0
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
0.0
+0.1
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
-0.1
36.8%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
52.1%

Frequently asked questions

When was JAX @ ARI played?

This NFL game was played on 2025-11-23.

Where can I find the prediction for JAX @ ARI?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

GAMBLING PROHIBITED FOR MINORS. Gambling carries risks: debt, addiction, social isolation. Help & responsible play · BeGambleAware · GamCare: 0808 802 0133 · NCPG Helpline: 1-800-522-4700