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WAS @ MIA prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 11 · Hard Rock Stadium
WASWAS
Washington Commanders
Away
Follow
Record 5-12
VS
16/11/2025
Kickoff 15:30 (Paris time)
MIAMIA
Miami Dolphins
Home
Follow
Record 7-10
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
WASWAS
+2.5
Spread
MIAMIA
-2.5
Total (O/U) 47.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official MIA -2.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 15/11 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend UNDER 47.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals (points)
Pick taken on 15/11 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Washington Commanders
Chig Okonkwo · TE
Hamstring — est. return 09/27
Out
Frankie Luvu · LB
Groin — est. return 09/27
Out
Jordan Magee · LB
Hamstring — est. return 10/19
Injured Reserve
Javon Kinlaw · DT
Back — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Antonio Williams · WR
Active
Ben Sinnott · TE
Active
Miami Dolphins
Chop Robinson · LB
Concussion — est. return 09/27
Out
Kyle Louis · LB
Knee — est. return 10/25
Injured Reserve
Ronnie Harrison Jr. · LB
Hamstring — est. return 09/27
Out
Tucker Addington · LS
Shoulder — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Brady Cook · QB
Active
Caleb Douglas · WR
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
18.0vs23.2
Points allowed/g
27.8vs16.2
Pass EPA
-0.20vs1.39
Turnover diff.
-0.8vs0.8
Record
5-12vs7-10
Roof: outdoors Surface: grass Hard Rock Stadium — Miami Gardens, FL
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Head-to-head

1WAS
MIA2
03/12/23MIA — WAS45 – 15
13/10/19WAS — MIA17 – 16
13/09/15MIA — WAS17 – 10

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

WAS STAT MIA
17.8
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
20.6
35.8
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
22.2
316
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
333
202
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
201
115
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
132
-1.2
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-1.4
-2.0
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
-1.4
42.4%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
29.3%

Frequently asked questions

When was WAS @ MIA played?

This NFL game was played on 2025-11-16.

Where can I find the prediction for WAS @ MIA?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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