WAS @ ATL prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis
NFL · Week 4 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
VS
28/09/2025
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
Analysis published before kickoff
Best odds across books (CLV)
Transparent method
Spread
WAS
+2.5
WAS
Spread
ATL
-2.5
ATL
Total (O/U)
43.5
points
nflverse reference lines
Our picks for this match
Official
WAS +2.5
Edge vs market
—
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 27/09 à 02:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend
OVER 43.5
Edge vs market
—
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals (points)
Pick taken on 27/09 à 02:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Washington CommandersChig Okonkwo
Frankie Luvu
Jordan Magee
Javon Kinlaw
Antonio Williams
Ben Sinnott
Atlanta FalconsBilly Bowman Jr.
Cameron Williams
Da'Shawn Hand
Michael Penix Jr.
Tua Tagovailoa
A.J. Terrell Jr.
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.
Key Factors
Points scored/g
18.0vs22.6
Points allowed/g
27.8vs26.4
Pass EPA
-0.20vs1.15
Turnover diff.
-0.8vs-0.2
Record
5-12vs8-9
Roof: closed
Surface: fieldturf
Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta, GA
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Head-to-head
4WAS
ATL1
29/12/24ATL — WAS24 – 30
15/10/23WAS — ATL24 – 16
27/11/22ATL — WAS13 – 19
03/10/21WAS — ATL34 – 30
04/11/18ATL — WAS38 – 14
Form & statistics
Team Comparison
8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)
WAS
STAT
ATL
29.6
20.8
28.6
26.6
395
388
243
234
152
155
0.0
-0.8
+7.1
-0.1
38.5%
41.2%
Frequently asked questions
When was WAS @ ATL played?
This NFL game was played on 2025-09-28.
Where can I find the prediction for WAS @ ATL?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
