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NO @ DET prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 1 · Ford Field
NONO
New Orleans Saints
Away
Follow
Record 0-1
VS
13/09/2026
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
DETDET
Detroit Lions
Home
Follow
Record 1-1
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
NONO
+7.0
Spread
DETDET
-7.0
Total (O/U) 49.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official NO +7.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.80
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 13/09 à 13:05 — odds at the time: 1.80 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend UNDER 49.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals (points)
Pick taken on 13/09 à 13:05 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
New Orleans Saints
Audric Estime · RB
Thigh — est. return 10/11
Injured Reserve
Zach Wood · LS
Calf — est. return 10/18
Injured Reserve
Isaiah Stalbird · LB
Shoulder — est. return 09/20
Doubtful
Chase Young · DE
Calf — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Chris Olave · WR
Hamstring — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Christen Miller · DT
Toe — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Detroit Lions
Ahmed Hassanein · DE
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Blake Miller · OT
Knee — est. return 09/27
Out
Christian Mahogany · G
Hip — est. return 09/27
Out
Ennis Rakestraw Jr. · CB
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Jimmy Rolder · LB
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Keith Abney II · CB
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Projected marginNO -0.2CatBoost model
Market lineDET -7.0reference spread
Projected total46.2points (line 49.5)
Best odds at pick1.80sport888
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Spread: NO +7.5 @ 1.800 [OFFICIEL]
Total: UNDER 49.5 @ 1.909 [TENDANCE]

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Semaine 1 NFL — Ford Field. Analyse synthétique générée automatiquement à partir des données du modèle (le rédactionnel complet n'a pas pu être produit pour ce match).

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread NO +7.5 — edge 7.16.

Total UNDER 49.5 — edge 3.27.

Repères marché (nflverse) : spread domicile 7.0 · total 49.5

Verdict Probwin

Pick officiel du modèle sur ce match — conviction conforme au seuil de publication.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
17.6vs29.0
Points allowed/g
17.8vs29.0
Pass EPA
-1.45vs2.72
Turnover diff.
0.4vs0.6
Record
0-1vs1-1
Roof: dome Surface: fieldturf Ford Field — Detroit, MI
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Head-to-head

2NO
DET3
03/12/23DET — NO33 – 28
04/10/20NO — DET35 – 29
15/10/17DET — NO38 – 52
04/12/16DET — NO28 – 13
21/12/15DET — NO35 – 27

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

NO STAT DET
24.8
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
26.2
17.6
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
27.8
375
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
385
271
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
308
104
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
77
+0.2
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-0.2
+2.1
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+4.9
43.9%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
37.9%

Frequently asked questions

When was NO @ DET played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-09-13.

Where can I find the prediction for NO @ DET?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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