Free signup + 7 days PRO included Create my account

NO @ DET prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 1 · Ford Field
NONO
New Orleans Saints
Away
★Follow
Record 2-5
VS
13/09/2026
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
DETDET
Detroit Lions
Home
★Follow
Record 5-2
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
NONO
+7.0
Spread
DETDET
-7.0
Total (O/U) 49.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official pick NO +7.5
Odds
1.80
Market
Spread
Taken on 13/09 · 13:05 at odds of 1.80
AI Trend UNDER 49.5
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals (points)
Taken on 13/09 · 13:05 at odds of 1.91
INJURIES & ABSENCES
New Orleans Saints
Jordyn Tyson · WR
Hamstring — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
Travis Etienne Jr. · RB
Hamstring — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
CJ Donaldson · RB
Shoulder — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Cesar Ruiz · G
Knee — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Justin Reid · S
Concussion — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Nathan Shepherd · DT
Illness — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Detroit Lions
Isiah Pacheco · RB
Back — est. return 12/28
Injured Reserve
Jimmy Rolder · LB
Hamstring — est. return 02/15
Out
Kerby Joseph · S
Knee — est. return 11/08
Out
Jack Campbell · LB
Neck — est. return 11/08
Doubtful
Brian Branch · S
Concussion — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Cade Mays · C
Ankle — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Projected marginNO -0.2CatBoost model
Market lineDET -7.0reference spread
Projected total46.2points (line 49.5)
Best odds at pick1.80sport888
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Spread: NO +7.5 @ 1.800 [OFFICIEL]
Total: UNDER 49.5 @ 1.909 [TENDANCE]

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Semaine 1 NFL — Ford Field. Analyse synthétique générée automatiquement à partir des données du modèle (le rédactionnel complet n'a pas pu être produit pour ce match).

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread NO +7.5 — edge 7.16.

Total UNDER 49.5 — edge 3.27.

Repères marché (nflverse) : spread domicile 7.0 · total 49.5

Verdict Probwin

Pick officiel du modèle sur ce match — conviction conforme au seuil de publication.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
17.6vs29.0
Points allowed/g
17.8vs29.0
Pass EPA
-1.45vs2.72
Turnover diff.
0.4vs0.6
Record
2-5vs5-2
Roof: dome Surface: fieldturf Ford Field — Detroit, MI
Full access to the analysis

Unlock all picks and the full analysis

The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, absences, referee stats and the best price from around ten bookmakers — no commitment.

Trial
7 days
Free
Get started →
No credit card
POPULAR
Day Pass
2,99€
24h access
Unlock today →
No renewal
PRO
19€/mo
All picks
See pricing →
1-click cancel

Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market

Head-to-head

2NO
DET3
03/12/23DET — NO33 – 28
04/10/20NO — DET35 – 29
15/10/17DET — NO38 – 52
04/12/16DET — NO28 – 13
21/12/15DET — NO35 – 27

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

NO STAT DET
24.8
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
26.2
17.6
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
27.8
375
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
385
271
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
308
104
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
77
+0.2
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-0.2
+2.1
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+4.9
43.9%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
37.9%

Frequently asked questions

When was NO @ DET played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-09-13.

Where can I find the prediction for NO @ DET?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

GAMBLING PROHIBITED FOR MINORS. Gambling carries risks: debt, addiction, social isolation. Help & responsible play · BeGambleAware · GamCare: 0808 802 0133 · NCPG Helpline: 1-800-522-4700