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NO @ ATL prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 18 · Mercedes-Benz Stadium
NONO
New Orleans Saints
Away
Follow
Record 6-11
VS
04/01/2026
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
ATLATL
Atlanta Falcons
Home
Follow
Record 8-9
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
NONO
+4.5
Spread
ATLATL
-4.5
Total (O/U) 43.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official NO +3
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 30/12 à 21:55 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
New Orleans Saints
Audric Estime · RB
Thigh — est. return 10/11
Injured Reserve
Zach Wood · LS
Calf — est. return 10/18
Injured Reserve
Isaiah Stalbird · LB
Shoulder — est. return 09/20
Doubtful
Chase Young · DE
Calf — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Chris Olave · WR
Hamstring — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Christen Miller · DT
Toe — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Atlanta Falcons
Billy Bowman Jr. · CB
Achilles — est. return 09/24
Out
Cameron Williams · OL
Ankle — est. return 10/11
Injured Reserve
Da'Shawn Hand · DT
Quadriceps — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Michael Penix Jr. · QB
Knee - ACL — est. return 09/24
Out
Tua Tagovailoa · QB
Oblique — est. return 09/20
Doubtful
A.J. Terrell Jr. · CB
Shoulder — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
17.6vs22.6
Points allowed/g
17.8vs26.4
Pass EPA
-1.45vs1.15
Turnover diff.
0.4vs-0.2
Record
6-11vs8-9
Roof: closed Surface: fieldturf Mercedes-Benz Stadium — Atlanta, GA
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Head-to-head

2NO
ATL3
23/11/25ATL — NO24 – 10
10/11/24ATL — NO17 – 20
29/09/24NO — ATL24 – 26
07/01/24ATL — NO17 – 48
26/11/23NO — ATL15 – 24

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

NO STAT ATL
24.8
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
23.0
18.0
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
27.0
365
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
373
267
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
218
99
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
155
+0.2
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
+0.2
+3.0
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+2.6
45.2%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
35.9%

Frequently asked questions

When was NO @ ATL played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-01-04.

Where can I find the prediction for NO @ ATL?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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