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MIA @ NE prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 18 · Gillette Stadium
MIAMIA
Miami Dolphins
Away
★Follow
Record 7-10
VS
04/01/2026
Kickoff 22:25 (Paris time)
NENE
New England Patriots
Home
★Follow
Record 14-3
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
MIAMIA
+14.0
Spread
NENE
-14.0
Total (O/U) 44.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official pick MIA +11.5
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Taken on 30/12 · 21:55 at odds of 1.91
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Miami Dolphins
Kadyn Proctor · OT
Concussion — est. return 11/08
Out
Malik Herring · DE
Undisclosed — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Caleb Douglas · WR
Active
Christian Haynes · G
Active
Dante Trader Jr. · S
Active
Greg Dulcich · TE
Active
New England Patriots
A.J. Brown · WR
Ankle — est. return 11/08
Out
Mack Hollins · WR
Calf — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
Marcus Bryant · OT
Ankle — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
TreVeyon Henderson · RB
Illness — est. return 11/08
Out
Gabe Jacas · LB
Knee — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Hunter Henry · TE
Foot — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
23.2vs29.0
Points allowed/g
16.2vs21.4
Pass EPA
1.39vs6.68
Turnover diff.
0.8vs0.0
Record
7-10vs14-3
Roof: outdoors Surface: fieldturf Gillette Stadium — Foxborough, MA
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Head-to-head

4MIA
NE1
14/09/25NE — MIA33 – 27
24/11/24NE — MIA15 – 34
06/10/24MIA — NE15 – 10
29/10/23NE — MIA17 – 31
17/09/23MIA — NE24 – 17

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

MIA STAT NE
22.2
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
32.0
23.4
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
20.8
343
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
423
194
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
279
149
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
143
+0.6
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
+0.2
+3.1
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+14.2
26.9%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
42.1%

Frequently asked questions

When was MIA @ NE played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-01-04.

Where can I find the prediction for MIA @ NE?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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