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LAC @ JAX prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 11 · TIAA Bank Stadium
LACLAC
Los Angeles Chargers
Away
Follow
Record 11-6
VS
16/11/2025
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
JAXJAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
Home
Follow
Record 13-4
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
LACLAC
-3.0
Spread
JAXJAX
+3.0
Total (O/U) 43.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official LAC -3
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 15/11 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Los Angeles Chargers
Elijah Molden · CB
Hamstring — est. return 09/27
Out
KeAndre Lambert-Smith · WR
Hamstring — est. return 10/18
Injured Reserve
Trey Pipkins III · OT
Knee — est. return 09/27
Out
Deane Leonard · CB
Abdomen — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Ladd McConkey · WR
Ribs — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Alex Harkey · G
Active
Jacksonville Jaguars
B.J. Green II · DE
Elbow — est. return 10/18
Injured Reserve
Bhayshul Tuten · RB
Active
Brenton Strange · TE
Active
Brian Thomas Jr. · WR
Active
Bryan Thomas Jr. · DE
Active
CJ Williams · WR
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
20.0vs34.2
Points allowed/g
18.2vs14.4
Pass EPA
-7.06vs6.58
Turnover diff.
1.0vs0.4
Record
11-6vs13-4
Roof: outdoors Surface: grass TIAA Bank Stadium — Jacksonville, FL
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Head-to-head

2LAC
JAX3
14/01/23LAC — JAX30 – 31
25/09/22JAX — LAC38 – 10
25/10/20JAX — LAC29 – 39
08/12/19LAC — JAX45 – 10
12/11/17LAC — JAX17 – 20

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

LAC STAT JAX
28.4
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
21.8
21.0
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
29.6
406
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
332
276
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
231
130
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
102
0.0
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-0.2
+6.8
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+0.2
48.6%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
37.3%

Frequently asked questions

When was LAC @ JAX played?

This NFL game was played on 2025-11-16.

Where can I find the prediction for LAC @ JAX?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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