KC @ BUF prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis
NFL · Week 9 · New Era Field
VS
02/11/2025
Kickoff 22:25 (Paris time)
Kickoff 22:25 (Paris time)
Analysis published before kickoff
Best odds across books (CLV)
Transparent method
Spread
KC
-2.5
KC
Spread
BUF
+2.5
BUF
Total (O/U)
53.5
points
nflverse reference lines
Our picks for this match
Official
BUF +2.5
Edge vs market
—
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 01/11 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend
UNDER 53.5
Edge vs market
—
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals (points)
Pick taken on 01/11 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Kansas City ChiefsCooper McDonald
Jimmy Holiday
Omarr Norman-Lott
Chris Jones
Mansoor Delane
Alohi Gilman
Buffalo BillsAr'maj Reed-Adams
Ed Oliver
Jalon Kilgore
Jude Bowry
Skyler Bell
T.J. Sanders
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.
Key Factors
Points scored/g
18.6vs32.6
Points allowed/g
21.8vs25.4
Pass EPA
-0.63vs6.14
Turnover diff.
-1.2vs0.0
Record
6-11vs12-5
Roof: outdoors
Surface: a_turf
New Era Field — Orchard Park, NY
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Head-to-head
2KC
BUF3
26/01/25BUF — KC29 – 32
17/11/24KC — BUF21 – 30
21/01/24KC — BUF27 – 24
10/12/23BUF — KC20 – 17
16/10/22BUF — KC24 – 20
Form & statistics
Team Comparison
8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)
KC
STAT
BUF
30.8
27.2
15.0
19.2
426
372
286
208
140
164
+0.8
0.0
+15.4
+8.5
48.2%
46.0%
Frequently asked questions
When was KC @ BUF played?
This NFL game was played on 2025-11-02.
Where can I find the prediction for KC @ BUF?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
