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JAX @ DEN prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 2 · Empower Field at Mile High
JAXJAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
Away
★Follow
Record 5-2
VS
20/09/2026
Kickoff 22:05 (Paris time)
DENDEN
Denver Broncos
Home
★Follow
Record 6-2
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
JAXJAX
+2.5
Spread
DENDEN
-2.5
Total (O/U) 45.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official pick JAX +2.5
Odds
2.04
Market
Spread
Taken on 20/09 · 13:05 at odds of 2.04
AI Trend UNDER 45.5
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals (points)
Taken on 20/09 · 13:05 at odds of 1.91
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Jacksonville Jaguars
Antonio Johnson · S
Ankle — est. return 11/05
Out
DaVon Hamilton · DT
Knee — est. return 02/15
Out
Eric Murray · S
Elbow — est. return 02/15
Out
Bhayshul Tuten · RB
Ankle — est. return 11/05
Questionable
Branson Combs · LB
Shoulder — est. return 11/05
Questionable
Chris Rodriguez Jr. · RB
Hand — est. return 11/05
Questionable
Denver Broncos
RJ Harvey · RB
Knee — est. return 12/06
Injured Reserve
Talanoa Hufanga · S
Ankle — est. return 11/08
Out
Brandon Jones · S
Hamstring — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Kris Abrams-Draine · CB
Ankle — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Alex Singleton · LB
Active
Bo Nix · QB
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Projected marginJAX -4.3CatBoost model
Market lineDEN -2.5reference spread
Projected total43.8points (line 45.5)
Best odds at pick2.04pinnacle
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Spread: JAX +2.5 @ 2.040 [OFFICIEL]
Total: UNDER 45.5 @ 1.909 [TENDANCE]

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Semaine 2 NFL — Empower Field at Mile High. Analyse synthétique générée automatiquement à partir des données du modèle (le rédactionnel complet n'a pas pu être produit pour ce match).

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread JAX +2.5 — edge 7.27.

Total UNDER 45.5 — edge 1.74.

Repères marché (nflverse) : spread domicile 2.5 · total 45.5

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

● Stade extérieur : la météo peut peser sur le score
Verdict Probwin

Pick officiel du modèle sur ce match — conviction conforme au seuil de publication.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
34.2vs23.4
Points allowed/g
14.4vs19.0
Pass EPA
6.58vs6.08
Turnover diff.
0.4vs0.2
Record
5-2vs6-2
Roof: outdoors Surface: grass Empower Field at Mile High — Denver, CO
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Head-to-head

2JAX
DEN3
21/12/25JAX — DEN34 – 20
30/10/22DEN — JAX21 – 17
19/09/21DEN — JAX23 – 13
29/09/19JAX — DEN26 – 24
04/12/16DEN — JAX20 – 10

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

JAX STAT DEN
31.2
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
17.8
16.2
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
17.4
363
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
266
253
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
173
110
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
92
+0.8
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
+0.4
+11.5
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
-6.1
51.8%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
40.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was JAX @ DEN played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-09-20.

Where can I find the prediction for JAX @ DEN?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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