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IND @ JAX prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 14 · TIAA Bank Stadium
INDIND
Indianapolis Colts
Away
Follow
Record 8-9
VS
07/12/2025
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
JAXJAX
Jacksonville Jaguars
Home
Follow
Record 13-4
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
INDIND
-2.5
Spread
JAXJAX
+2.5
Total (O/U) 44.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official IND -2.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 06/12 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Indianapolis Colts
Ashton Dulin · WR
Ankle — est. return 09/27
Out
Carson Towt · TE
Undisclosed — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
D.J. Montgomery · WR
Abdomen — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Will Mallory · TE
Thumb — est. return 10/11
Injured Reserve
DJ Giddens · RB
Knee — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Sean McKeon · TE
Undisclosed — est. return 02/15
Questionable
Jacksonville Jaguars
B.J. Green II · DE
Elbow — est. return 10/18
Injured Reserve
Bhayshul Tuten · RB
Active
Brenton Strange · TE
Active
Brian Thomas Jr. · WR
Active
Bryan Thomas Jr. · DE
Active
CJ Williams · WR
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
20.4vs34.2
Points allowed/g
24.4vs14.4
Pass EPA
-1.62vs6.58
Turnover diff.
-0.2vs0.4
Record
8-9vs13-4
Roof: outdoors Surface: grass TIAA Bank Stadium — Jacksonville, FL
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Head-to-head

2IND
JAX3
05/01/25JAX — IND23 – 26
06/10/24IND — JAX34 – 37
15/10/23IND — JAX20 – 37
10/09/23JAX — IND31 – 21
16/10/22JAX — IND27 – 34

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

IND STAT JAX
25.0
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
29.2
21.8
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
19.6
391
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
332
250
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
203
141
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
129
0.0
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-0.4
+4.6
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+1.4
32.8%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
40.0%

Frequently asked questions

When was IND @ JAX played?

This NFL game was played on 2025-12-07.

Where can I find the prediction for IND @ JAX?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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