Free signup + 7 days PRO included Create my account

DET @ KC prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 6 · GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
DETDET
Detroit Lions
Away
Follow
Record 9-8
VS
12/10/2025
Kickoff 02:20 (Paris time)
KCKC
Kansas City Chiefs
Home
Follow
Record 6-11
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
DETDET
+2.5
Spread
KCKC
-2.5
Total (O/U) 51.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official DET +2.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 11/10 à 02:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Detroit Lions
Ahmed Hassanein · DE
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Blake Miller · OT
Knee — est. return 09/27
Out
Christian Mahogany · G
Hip — est. return 09/27
Out
Ennis Rakestraw Jr. · CB
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Jimmy Rolder · LB
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Keith Abney II · CB
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Kansas City Chiefs
Cooper McDonald · LB
Knee — est. return 10/25
Injured Reserve
Jimmy Holiday · WR
Undisclosed — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Omarr Norman-Lott · DT
Knee - ACL — est. return 10/18
Out
Chris Jones · DT
Calf — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Mansoor Delane · CB
Shoulder — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Alohi Gilman · S
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
29.0vs18.6
Points allowed/g
29.0vs21.8
Pass EPA
2.72vs-0.63
Turnover diff.
0.6vs-1.2
Record
9-8vs6-11
Roof: outdoors Surface: grass GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium — Kansas City, MO
Le vestiaire ProbWin La boutique →
Hoodie « Ça passait laaarge » Tee « Sponsor officiel de mon bookmaker » Mug « Une coupe de champagne » Casquette ProbWin Carnet de Bankroll Tee « Ça passait laaarge » Tee ProbWin logo
Full access to the analysis

Unlock all picks and the full analysis

The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, line-ups, injuries, referee and odds from 11 bookmakers — no commitment.

Trial
7 days
Free
Get started →
No credit card
POPULAR
Day Pass
2,99€
24h access
Unlock today →
No renewal
PRO
19€/mo
All picks
See pricing →
1-click cancel

Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market

Head-to-head

1DET
KC2
07/09/23DET — KC21 – 20
29/09/19KC — DET34 – 30
01/11/15DET — KC10 – 45

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

DET STAT KC
34.8
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
25.0
22.4
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
21.4
374
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
373
238
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
251
136
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
121
+1.2
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
+0.8
+13.0
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+9.3
40.0%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
42.9%

Frequently asked questions

When was DET @ KC played?

This NFL game was played on 2025-10-12.

Where can I find the prediction for DET @ KC?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

GAMBLING PROHIBITED FOR MINORS. Gambling carries risks: debt, addiction, social isolation. Help & responsible play · BeGambleAware · GamCare: 0808 802 0133 · NCPG Helpline: 1-800-522-4700