Free signup + 7 days PRO included Create my account

DAL @ HOU prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 4 · Reliant Stadium
DALDAL
Dallas Cowboys
Away
★Follow
Record 3-5
VS
04/10/2026
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
HOUHOU
Houston Texans
Home
★Follow
Record 2-5
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
DALDAL
+3.0
Spread
HOUHOU
-3.0
Total (O/U) 48.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official pick DAL +3
Odds
1.89
Market
Spread
Taken on 04/10 · 13:05 at odds of 1.89
AI Trend UNDER 48.5
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals (points)
Taken on 04/10 · 13:05 at odds of 1.91
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Dallas Cowboys
Dee Winters · LB
Calf — est. return 11/08
Out
Jonathan Bullard · DT
Calf — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
KaVontae Turpin · WR
Ribs — est. return 11/08
Out
Luke Schoonmaker · TE
Groin — est. return 11/08
Out
Marist Liufau · LB
Forearm — est. return 11/08
Injured Reserve
Caleb Downs · S
Concussion — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Houston Texans
Jaylin Noel · WR
Toe — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Blake Fisher · OT
Thumb — est. return 11/08
Questionable
David Montgomery · RB
Groin — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Jalen Pitre · S
Shoulder - AC Joint — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Reed Blankenship · S
Concussion — est. return 11/08
Questionable
Azeez Al-Shaair · LB
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Projected marginDAL -0.1CatBoost model
Market lineHOU -3.0reference spread
Projected total44.4points (line 48.5)
Best odds at pick1.89pinnacle
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Spread: DAL +3 @ 1.890 [OFFICIEL]
Total: UNDER 48.5 @ 1.909 [TENDANCE]

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Semaine 4 NFL — Reliant Stadium. Analyse synthétique générée automatiquement à partir des données du modèle (le rédactionnel complet n'a pas pu être produit pour ce match).

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread DAL +3 — edge 3.10.

Total UNDER 48.5 — edge 4.08.

Repères marché (nflverse) : spread domicile 3.0 · total 48.5

Verdict Probwin

Pick officiel du modèle sur ce match — conviction conforme au seuil de publication.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
28.8vs23.8
Points allowed/g
28.6vs15.6
Pass EPA
5.37vs3.24
Turnover diff.
-1.0vs1.6
Record
3-5vs2-5
Roof: closed Surface: astroturf Reliant Stadium — Houston, TX
Full access to the analysis

Unlock all picks and the full analysis

The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, absences, referee stats and the best price from around ten bookmakers — no commitment.

Trial
7 days
Free
Get started →
No credit card
POPULAR
Day Pass
2,99€
24h access
Unlock today →
No renewal
PRO
19€/mo
All picks
See pricing →
1-click cancel

Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market

Head-to-head

1DAL
HOU2
18/11/24HOU — DAL34 – 10
11/12/22HOU — DAL23 – 27
07/10/18DAL — HOU16 – 19

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

DAL STAT HOU
27.0
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
20.0
27.8
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
21.8
364
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
344
236
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
251
128
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
93
-0.2
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-0.4
+9.8
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
-7.9
49.2%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
43.4%

Frequently asked questions

When was DAL @ HOU played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-10-04.

Where can I find the prediction for DAL @ HOU?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

GAMBLING PROHIBITED FOR MINORS. Gambling carries risks: debt, addiction, social isolation. Help & responsible play · BeGambleAware · GamCare: 0808 802 0133 · NCPG Helpline: 1-800-522-4700