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DAL @ NYG prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 1 · MetLife Stadium
DALDAL
Dallas Cowboys
Away
Follow
Record 0-1
VS
13/09/2026
Kickoff 02:20 (Paris time)
NYGNYG
New York Giants
Home
Follow
Record 1-0
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
DALDAL
-3.0
Spread
NYGNYG
+3.0
Total (O/U) 47.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official NYG +3.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.80
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 13/09 à 13:05 — odds at the time: 1.80 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend UNDER 47.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals (points)
Pick taken on 13/09 à 13:05 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Dallas Cowboys
DeMarvion Overshown · LB
Hamstring — est. return 09/27
Out
Malik Davis · RB
Hip — est. return 02/15
Injured Reserve
Malik Hooker · S
Forearm — est. return 09/27
Out
Ajani Cornelius · OT
Active
Brandon Aubrey · PK
Active
Brevyn Spann-Ford · TE
Active
New York Giants
Paulson Adebo · CB
Knee — est. return 10/18
Injured Reserve
Andrew Thomas · OT
Ankle — est. return 09/21
Questionable
Chauncey Golston · DE
Neck — est. return 09/21
Questionable
Deonte Banks · CB
Calf — est. return 09/21
Questionable
Francis Mauigoa · OT
Shoulder — est. return 09/21
Questionable
Greg Newsome II · CB
Ribs — est. return 09/21
Questionable
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Our Expert Analysis

PRO
Projected marginNYG -0.3CatBoost model
Market lineDAL -3.0reference spread
Projected total42.7points (line 47.5)
Best odds at pick1.80sport888
View full analysis
Nos Picks
Spread: NYG +3.5 @ 1.800 [OFFICIEL]
Total: UNDER 47.5 @ 1.909 [TENDANCE]

CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Semaine 1 NFL — MetLife Stadium. Analyse synthétique générée automatiquement à partir des données du modèle (le rédactionnel complet n'a pas pu être produit pour ce match).

NOTRE ANALYSE

Spread NYG +3.5 — edge 3.31.

Total UNDER 47.5 — edge 4.76.

Repères marché (nflverse) : spread domicile -3.0 · total 47.5

POINTS DE VIGILANCE

Stade extérieur : la météo peut peser sur le score
Verdict Probwin

Pick officiel du modèle sur ce match — conviction conforme au seuil de publication.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
28.8vs20.6
Points allowed/g
28.6vs29.4
Pass EPA
5.37vs3.18
Turnover diff.
-1.0vs-0.6
Record
0-1vs1-0
Roof: outdoors Surface: fieldturf MetLife Stadium — East Rutherford, NJ
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Head-to-head

4DAL
NYG1
04/01/26DAL — NYG17 – 34
14/09/25NYG — DAL37 – 40
28/11/24NYG — DAL20 – 27
26/09/24DAL — NYG20 – 15
12/11/23NYG — DAL17 – 49

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

DAL STAT NYG
24.0
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
23.4
33.8
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
21.0
410
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
312
275
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
171
135
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
141
-0.8
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
+0.8
+6.1
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
-1.9
35.9%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
37.3%

Frequently asked questions

When was DAL @ NYG played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-09-13.

Where can I find the prediction for DAL @ NYG?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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