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CAR @ TB prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 18 · Raymond James Stadium
CARCAR
Carolina Panthers
Away
★Follow
Record 8-9
VS
04/01/2026
Kickoff 22:30 (Paris time)
TBTB
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Home
★Follow
Record 8-9
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
CARCAR
+3.0
Spread
TBTB
-3.0
Total (O/U) 43.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official pick CAR +2.5
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Taken on 30/12 · 21:55 at odds of 1.91
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Carolina Panthers
AJ Dillon · RB
Coach's Decision — est. return 11/08
Out
Akayleb Evans · CB
Triceps — est. return 11/30
Injured Reserve
Bobby Brown III · DT
Hand — est. return 11/08
Out
Damien Lewis · G
Knee — est. return 11/08
Out
Haynes King · QB
Coach's Decision — est. return 11/08
Out
Ja'Tavion Sanders · TE
Coach's Decision — est. return 11/08
Out
Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Christian Rozeboom · LB
Finger — est. return 11/30
Injured Reserve
Emeka Egbuka · WR
Foot — est. return 11/08
Out
Josh Hayes · CB
Knee — est. return 11/22
Injured Reserve
Yaya Diaby · LB
Knee - MCL — est. return 11/22
Out
Antoine Winfield Jr. · S
Active
Ayden Garnes · CB
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
18.8vs21.4
Points allowed/g
22.4vs29.6
Pass EPA
2.94vs-8.67
Turnover diff.
0.2vs-0.2
Record
8-9vs8-9
Roof: outdoors Surface: grass Raymond James Stadium — Tampa, FL
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Head-to-head

1CAR
TB4
21/12/25TB — CAR20 – 23
29/12/24CAR — TB14 – 48
01/12/24TB — CAR26 – 23
03/12/23CAR — TB18 – 21
01/01/23CAR — TB24 – 30

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

CAR STAT TB
18.0
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
21.0
23.0
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
22.6
270
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
335
157
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
217
114
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
118
+0.8
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-0.4
+0.3
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
+3.2
38.6%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
43.1%

Frequently asked questions

When was CAR @ TB played?

This NFL game was played on 2026-01-04.

Where can I find the prediction for CAR @ TB?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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