Free signup + 7 days PRO included Create my account

BUF @ MIA prediction: AI-powered NFL analysis

NFL · Week 10 · Hard Rock Stadium
BUFBUF
Buffalo Bills
Away
Follow
Record 12-5
VS
09/11/2025
Kickoff 19:00 (Paris time)
MIAMIA
Miami Dolphins
Home
Follow
Record 7-10
Analysis published before kickoff Best odds across books (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
BUFBUF
-8.5
Spread
MIAMIA
+8.5
Total (O/U) 50.5 points
nflverse reference lines

Our picks for this match

Official MIA +8.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Spread
Pick taken on 08/11 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend UNDER 50.5
Edge vs market
Odds
1.91
Market
Totals (points)
Pick taken on 08/11 à 01:00 — odds at the time: 1.91 (CLV tracking)
INJURIES & ABSENCES
Buffalo Bills
Ar'maj Reed-Adams · G
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Ed Oliver · DT
Hip — est. return 09/27
Out
Jalon Kilgore · S
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Jude Bowry · OT
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
Skyler Bell · WR
Coach's Decision — est. return 09/27
Out
T.J. Sanders · DT
Knee — est. return 09/27
Out
Miami Dolphins
Chop Robinson · LB
Concussion — est. return 09/27
Out
Kyle Louis · LB
Knee — est. return 10/25
Injured Reserve
Ronnie Harrison Jr. · LB
Hamstring — est. return 09/27
Out
Tucker Addington · LS
Shoulder — est. return 09/20
Questionable
Brady Cook · QB
Active
Caleb Douglas · WR
Active
Official injury report — ESPN feed, updated daily.

Key Factors

Points scored/g
32.6vs23.2
Points allowed/g
25.4vs16.2
Pass EPA
6.14vs1.39
Turnover diff.
0.0vs0.8
Record
12-5vs7-10
Roof: outdoors Surface: grass Hard Rock Stadium — Miami Gardens, FL
Le vestiaire ProbWin La boutique →
Hoodie « Ça passait laaarge » Tee « Sponsor officiel de mon bookmaker » Mug « Une coupe de champagne » Casquette ProbWin Carnet de Bankroll Tee « Ça passait laaarge » Tee ProbWin logo
Full access to the analysis

Unlock all picks and the full analysis

The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, line-ups, injuries, referee and odds from 11 bookmakers — no commitment.

Trial
7 days
Free
Get started →
No credit card
POPULAR
Day Pass
2,99€
24h access
Unlock today →
No renewal
PRO
19€/mo
All picks
See pricing →
1-click cancel

Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market

Head-to-head

5BUF
MIA0
18/09/25MIA — BUF21 – 31
03/11/24MIA — BUF27 – 30
12/09/24BUF — MIA31 – 10
07/01/24BUF — MIA21 – 14
01/10/23MIA — BUF20 – 48

Form & statistics

Team Comparison

8 of 65 model features (last 5-10 games)

BUF STAT MIA
26.6
Pts/Match ? Points marqués par match en moyenne
19.4
19.2
Pts encaissés ? Points concédés par match (défense)
25.0
381
Yards totaux ? Yards offensifs totaux par match
314
220
Yards passe ? Yards gagnés par la passe (jeu aérien)
218
161
Yards course ? Yards gagnés par la course (jeu au sol)
97
0.0
Turnover +/- ? Différentiel de balles perdues/récupérées
-1.2
+8.4
EPA/Play ? Expected Points Added - Points attendus ajoutés par action (efficacité offensive)
-3.4
47.1%
3rd Down % ? Pourcentage de conversion en 3ème tentative (prolonger les drives)
30.6%

Frequently asked questions

When was BUF @ MIA played?

This NFL game was played on 2025-11-09.

Where can I find the prediction for BUF @ MIA?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (spreads and totals), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NFL statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

GAMBLING PROHIBITED FOR MINORS. Gambling carries risks: debt, addiction, social isolation. Help & responsible play · BeGambleAware · GamCare: 0808 802 0133 · NCPG Helpline: 1-800-522-4700