POR @ PHX NBA prediction: AI analysis & picks
POR
PHXOur picks for this match
Game Analysis
PROView full analysis
GAME CONTEXT
The Phoenix Suns are 1-4 over their first 5 games this season. Phoenix last played on November 2, 2026, and has 1 day of rest. The Portland Trail Blazers are 6-1 over their first 7 games and last played on November 2, 2026, also with 1 day of rest.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
The expected pace is 99.9, or about 100 possessions per team: an average pace. The Portland Trail Blazers push the tempo a bit more (100.4) than the Phoenix Suns (98.7). Over the last 10 games, the Phoenix Suns have a defensive rating of 121.7 and an offensive rating of 110.8. The Portland Trail Blazers have an offensive rating of 112.3 and a defensive rating of 109.9. There is no particular fatigue situation: each team has 1 day of rest.
OUR ANALYSIS
SPREAD: No spread pick: there is no fatigue situation in this game.
TOTALS: Our lean is the UNDER 227.5 @ 1.980. With an average pace of around 100 possessions and the absences of Ja Morant and Shaedon Sharpe on the Portland Trail Blazers' side, our total range sits around the line. Our model projects 227.0 points, a gap of -0.5 points, consistent with the UNDER. The edge is slim.
The Phoenix Suns are allowing 120.1 points per game over their last 10 games, and the Portland Trail Blazers are scoring 112.7: a leaky opposing defense can push the total higher. In the last meeting, on October 21, 2026, the Portland Trail Blazers won 124-83; a score like that would clear the line if the Portland Trail Blazers got there on their own. That is the weak point of this read.
Our lean is the UNDER 227.5 @ 1.980, with no official spread pick. No staking advice.
Key Factors
| Team | Net Rtg | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| POR |
+2.4 | 112.3 | 109.9 | 100.4 | 1d |
| PHX |
-10.9 | 110.8 | 121.7 | 98.7 | 1d |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 44 model features (last 5-10 games)
POR
STAT
PHX
Frequently asked questions
When was POR @ PHX played?
This NBA game was played on 2026-11-04.
Where can I find the prediction for POR @ PHX?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
