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LAC @ GSW NBA prediction: AI analysis & picks

NBA
LACLAC
Clippers
Away
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@
2026-11-01
GSWGSW
Warriors
Home
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Analysis published before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
LACLAC
+2.0 @ 1.86
Spread
GSWGSW
-2.0 @ 1.97
Total Line 220.5 O/U @ 1.94
Pinnacle Odds

Our picks for this match

AI Trend UNDER 221.0
Model confidence65 %
Odds
1.93
Market
Totals O/U
Taken on 01/11 · 16:28 at odds of 1.93

Game Analysis

PRO
Confidence
70%
Net Rating (L10)-5.7 vs +0.5LAC · GSW
Pace (L10)100.7 vs 100.0possessions / game
Projected total222line 220.5
Model confidence65%UNDER 221.0
View full analysis
Our picks
Total: UNDER 221.0 @ 1.930 — AI TREND

GAME CONTEXT

The Golden State Warriors are 4-3 through seven games this season. The Los Angeles Clippers are 1-4 through five games. Golden State last played on October 30, 2026, and has one day of rest. The Clippers also played on October 30, 2026, and have one day of rest.

KEY ABSENCES

● Golden State Warriors: Gui Santos (F, questionable, knee), Draymond Green (F, out, rest), Jimmy Butler III (F, out, knee), Kristaps Porzingis (C, out, illness), Moses Moody (G, out, knee), Stephen Curry (G, out, rest).
● Los Angeles Clippers: Bradley Beal (G, out, knee), Brandon Ingram (F, out, Achilles tendon), Jordan Miller (G, out, shoulder), Max Strus (G, out, foot), Yanic Konan Niederhauser (C, out, foot).

GAME SCRIPT

The expected pace is 100.5, or about 100 possessions per team: an average pace. Golden State is playing at a pace of 100.0 over its last 10 games and Los Angeles at 100.7, so neither team is imposing a notable tempo. The Warriors have an offensive rating of 113.4 versus 107.9 for the Clippers, whose scoring is trending down at 108.6 points per game. Both teams have one day of rest and no particular fatigue situation.

OUR ANALYSIS

SPREAD: No spread pick: there is no fatigue situation in this game.

TOTALS: Our lean is the UNDER 221.0 at 1.930. The game script starts from an average pace, around 100 possessions per team, with neither side imposing a tempo. The Clippers' offense, at an offensive rating of 107.9 and 108.6 points per game and trending down, weighs on the total. The rotations are depleted on both sides, which doesn't point to a wide-open game. We place the total in a low range, close to our model's projection of 218.6 points, a gap of -2.4 points below the line, consistent with an UNDER.

Devil's advocate

Golden State is scoring 113.3 points per game, trending up, and its offensive rating of 113.4 could push the game toward the over. We accept that risk, because the Warriors allow 112.8 points per game with a defensive rating of 113.0, which doesn't point to a very high-scoring game. The Clippers score 108.6 points per game, which also limits the upside on the total.

ProbWin verdict

Our lean is the UNDER 221.0 at 1.930, with AI trend status. No spread pick.

Key Factors

Net Rating (L10)
-5.7vs+0.5
Pace (10d)
100.7vs100.0
Rest
1dvs1d
Def Rating
113.6vs113.0
TeamNet RtgOff RtgDef RtgPaceRest
LAC
-5.7 107.9 113.6 100.7 1d
GSW
+0.5 113.4 113.0 100.0 1d
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Head-to-Head

04/10/26GSW — LAC101 – 104
15/04/26GSW — LAC126 – 121
12/04/26GSW — LAC110 – 115
02/03/26LAC — GSW114 – 101
05/01/26GSW — LAC102 – 103

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 44 model features (last 5-10 games)

LAC STAT GSW
107.9
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
113.4
113.6
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
113.0
-5.7
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
+0.5
100.7
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
100.0
53.9%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
53.8%
57.8%
TS% ? True Shooting % - Efficacité globale au tir incluant LF
58.3%
0.2%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
0.2%
25.7%
OREB% ? Pourcentage de rebonds offensifs captés
34.6%

Frequently asked questions

When was LAC @ GSW played?

This NBA game was played on 2026-11-01.

Where can I find the prediction for LAC @ GSW?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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