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ORL @ TOR NBA prediction: AI analysis & picks

NBA
ORLORL
Magic
Away
★Follow
@
2026-10-28
TORTOR
Raptors
Home
★Follow
Analysis published before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
ORLORL
+5.0 @ 1.92
Spread
TORTOR
-5.0 @ 1.91
Total Line 224.5 O/U @ 1.95
Pinnacle Odds

Our picks for this match

AI Trend OVER 223.5
Model confidence59 %
Odds
1.93
Market
Totals O/U
Taken on 28/10 · 20:35 at odds of 1.93

Game Analysis

PRO
Confidence
70%
Net Rating (L10)-5.3 vs +7.5ORL · TOR
Pace (L10)100.5 vs 102.9possessions / game
Projected total218line 224.5
Model confidence59%OVER 223.5
View full analysis
Our picks
Total: OVER 223.5 @ 1.930 — AI TREND

GAME CONTEXT

The Toronto Raptors have 2 days of rest, with their last game played on October 25, 2026. The Orlando Magic have 2 days of rest, with their last game played on October 25, 2026.

KEY ABSENCES

● Toronto Raptors: Kawhi Leonard (F), out (knee, inflammation), estimated return November 23, 2026; Nate Bittle (C), out (foot, fracture), estimated return November 2, 2026.
● Orlando Magic: Anthony Black (G), questionable (personal reasons), estimated return October 28, 2026; Izaiyah Nelson (F), out (ankle, surgery), estimated return November 18, 2026; Jalen Suggs (G), out (knee), estimated return November 10, 2026; Jonathan Isaac (F), out (knee), estimated return October 30, 2026; Noah Penda (F), out (hamstring, strain), estimated return November 18, 2026; Paolo Banchero (F), out (ankle, sprain), estimated return November 22, 2026.

GAME SCRIPT

The table covers the end of last season, and rosters have changed, so we draw no recent form from it. The expected pace is about 102.2, or roughly 102 possessions per team, a fast pace. The Toronto Raptors posted a pace of 102.9 and the Orlando Magic 100.5, so the tempo leans toward Toronto. Orlando enters the game with six players listed, five of them out, which weighs on its rotation. No fatigue situation is flagged.

OUR ANALYSIS

SPREAD: No spread pick: there is no fatigue situation in this game.

TOTALS: Our trend leans toward the OVER 223.5 @ 1.930. The game script points to a fast-paced game, with Toronto dictating the tempo and an Offensive Rating (Off Rating) of 111.4 for Toronto against 102.3 for Orlando. Orlando allowed 108.1 points per game and posted a Defensive Rating (Def Rating) of 107.6. Our model projects 225.9 points against a line of 223.5, a gap of 2.4 points above the line. The tables point the same way, and the odds reward our estimate.

Devil's advocate

Orlando posted an Off Rating of 102.3 and scored 103.3 points per game, which could pull the total down if its offense stays stifled by the six absences. We accept that risk, because Toronto scored 114.7 points per game and posted an Off Rating of 111.4, enough to carry a large share of the total on its own.

ProbWin verdict

No spread pick. On the total, our trend leans toward the OVER 223.5 @ 1.930, with AI TREND status.

Key Factors

Net Rating (L10)
-5.3vs+7.5
Pace (10d)
100.5vs102.9
Rest
2dvs2d
Def Rating
107.6vs103.9
TeamNet RtgOff RtgDef RtgPaceRest
ORL
-5.3 102.3 107.6 100.5 2d
TOR
+7.5 111.4 103.9 102.9 2d
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Head-to-Head

29/03/26ORL — TOR87 – 139
30/01/26TOR — ORL120 – 130
29/12/25ORL — TOR106 – 107
04/03/25TOR — ORL114 – 113
02/03/25TOR — ORL104 – 102

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 44 model features (last 5-10 games)

ORL STAT TOR
102.3
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
111.4
107.6
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
103.9
-5.3
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
+7.5
100.5
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
102.9
48.8%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
51.8%
53.1%
TS% ? True Shooting % - Efficacité globale au tir incluant LF
55.7%
0.1%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
0.1%
24.8%
OREB% ? Pourcentage de rebonds offensifs captés
29.8%

Frequently asked questions

When was ORL @ TOR played?

This NBA game was played on 2026-10-28.

Where can I find the prediction for ORL @ TOR?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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