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PHX @ DET NBA prediction: AI analysis & picks

NBA
PHXPHX
Suns
Away
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@
2026-10-05
DETDET
Pistons
Home
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Analysis published before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
PHXPHX
—
Spread
DETDET
—
Total Line — O/U @ 1.91
Pinnacle Odds

Game Analysis

PRO
Net Rating (L10)+3.5 vs +8.8PHX · DET
Pace (L10)99.2 vs 100.4possessions / game
Projected total234combined points
View full analysis

GAME CONTEXT

The Detroit Pistons are returning to action; their last game was on May 17, 2026. The Phoenix Suns are also returning to action; their last game was on May 3, 2026.

KEY ABSENCES

● Detroit Pistons: Jalen Duren (C), questionable (nature not disclosed), estimated return on October 5, 2026.
● Phoenix Suns: Mark Williams (C), out (shoulder, surgery), estimated return on February 3, 2027.

GAME SCRIPT

The last 10 games table covers the end of last season, and the rosters have changed, so we draw no recent form from it. The expected pace is about 100.0, an average pace, with about 100 possessions per team. The Detroit Pistons posted a pace of 100.4 and the Phoenix Suns 99.2 over that stretch. In terms of rotations, the Phoenix Suns no longer have Mark Williams at center, and Jalen Duren's availability remains questionable for the Detroit Pistons.

OUR ANALYSIS

SPREAD: No spread pick: there is no fatigue situation in this game.

TOTALS: No total pick: our model does not find a direction in this game.

Devil's advocate

Jalen Duren's status, questionable for the Detroit Pistons, could change the read on the rotations and the pace of the game.

ProbWin verdict

We are not playing this game.

Key Factors

Net Rating (L10)
+3.5vs+8.8
Pace (10d)
99.2vs100.4
Rest
30dvs30d
Def Rating
113.1vs109.4
TeamNet RtgOff RtgDef RtgPaceRest
PHX
+3.5 116.6 113.1 99.2 30d
DET
+8.8 118.3 109.4 100.4 30d
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Head-to-Head

29/01/26DET — PHX96 – 114
15/01/26PHX — DET105 – 108
18/01/25PHX — DET125 – 121
21/12/24DET — PHX133 – 125
14/02/24DET — PHX100 – 116

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 44 model features (last 5-10 games)

PHX STAT DET
116.6
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
118.3
113.1
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
109.4
+3.5
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
+8.8
99.2
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
100.4
53.7%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
56.7%
56.7%
TS% ? True Shooting % - Efficacité globale au tir incluant LF
60.0%
0.1%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
0.1%
29.7%
OREB% ? Pourcentage de rebonds offensifs captés
27.4%

Frequently asked questions

When was PHX @ DET played?

This NBA game was played on 2026-10-05.

Where can I find the prediction for PHX @ DET?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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