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NYK @ PHI NBA prediction: AI analysis & picks

NBA
NYKNYK
Knicks
Away
★Follow
@
2026-10-05
PHIPHI
Sixers
Home
★Follow
Analysis published before tip-off Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent method
Spread
NYKNYK
—
Spread
PHIPHI
—
Total Line — O/U @ 1.91
Pinnacle Odds

Game Analysis

PRO
Net Rating (L10)+4.6 vs +2.8NYK · PHI
Pace (L10)94.8 vs 103.7possessions / game
Projected total233combined points
View full analysis

GAME CONTEXT

The Philadelphia 76ers are returning to action; their last game was on May 14, 2026. The New York Knicks are also returning to action; their last game was on June 19, 2026.

KEY ABSENCES

● Philadelphia 76ers: Adem Bona (C), questionable (foot, sprain), estimated return on October 8, 2026; Anfernee Simons (G), questionable (rest), estimated return on October 8, 2026; Dominick Barlow (F), questionable (rest), estimated return on October 8, 2026; Joel Embiid (C), questionable (rest), estimated return on October 8, 2026; LeBron James (F), questionable (rest), estimated return on October 8, 2026; Tacko Fall (C), questionable (hip), estimated return on October 16, 2026; and 1 other player out.
● New York Knicks: Drew Eubanks (F), questionable (thumb, surgery), estimated return on October 5, 2026.

GAME SCRIPT

The tables cover the end of last season and rosters have changed, so we draw no recent form from them. The expected pace is ~101.0, a fast pace, with about 101 possessions per team. For the 76ers, several players are questionable due to rest, including Joel Embiid and LeBron James, and their rotations could change as a result. No fatigue situation is flagged for this game.

OUR ANALYSIS

SPREAD: No spread pick: there is no fatigue situation in this game.

TOTALS: No total pick: our model does not show a clear direction.

Devil's advocate

The 76ers' actual lineup remains to be confirmed: Joel Embiid and LeBron James are questionable due to rest, with an estimated return on October 8, 2026. Whether they play or sit could change the read on pace and rotations.

ProbWin verdict

We are not playing this game.

Key Factors

Net Rating (L10)
+4.6vs+2.8
Pace (10d)
94.8vs103.7
Rest
30dvs30d
Def Rating
113.0vs113.9
TeamNet RtgOff RtgDef RtgPaceRest
NYK
+4.6 117.6 113.0 94.8 30d
PHI
+2.8 116.7 113.9 103.7 30d
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Head-to-Head

10/05/26NYK — PHI144 – 114
08/05/26NYK — PHI108 – 94
11/02/26NYK — PHI138 – 89
24/01/26NYK — PHI112 – 109
03/01/26PHI — NYK130 – 119

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

8 of 44 model features (last 5-10 games)

NYK STAT PHI
117.6
Off Rating ? Points marqués pour 100 possessions
116.7
113.0
Def Rating ? Points concédés pour 100 possessions
113.9
+4.6
Net Rating ? Différentiel Off Rating - Def Rating
+2.8
94.8
Pace ? Nombre de possessions par match
103.7
54.9%
eFG% ? Effective FG% - Efficacité au tir (3pts comptent 1.5x)
54.8%
58.8%
TS% ? True Shooting % - Efficacité globale au tir incluant LF
58.3%
0.1%
TOV% ? Pourcentage de pertes de balle par possession
0.1%
27.0%
OREB% ? Pourcentage de rebonds offensifs captés
23.9%

Frequently asked questions

When was NYK @ PHI played?

This NBA game was played on 2026-10-05.

Where can I find the prediction for NYK @ PHI?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our NBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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