NOP @ MEM NBA prediction: AI analysis & picks
NOP
MEMOur picks for this match
Game Analysis
PROView full analysis
GAME CONTEXT
The Memphis Grizzlies are 6-0 through six games this season. Their last game was on October 31, 2026, with 1 day of rest. The New Orleans Pelicans are 2-4 through six games, with their last game also on October 31, 2026, and 1 day of rest.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
Expected pace is about 107.3, or roughly 107 possessions per team. The Pelicans set the fastest tempo, with a pace of 108.4 over their last 10 games, compared with 104.7 for the Grizzlies. Both teams have an offensive rating of 112.7; defensive ratings are 113.9 for the Grizzlies and 113.5 for the Pelicans. On the Pelicans' side, two players who are out and one who is questionable shorten the rotation, while the Grizzlies are dealing with two questionable players. No spread line is available, and fatigue is identical, with 1 day of rest on each side.
OUR ANALYSIS
SPREAD: No spread pick: there is no fatigue edge in this game.
TOTALS: The game script starts from an expected pace of about 107.3, which is fast and driven by the Pelicans. The Grizzlies slow that pace down with a pace of 104.7. The absences weigh mostly on the Pelicans' rotation, which is without Jordan Poole and Yves Missi. That puts the total in a range close to the line, with our model projecting 231.4 points against a line of 232.5, a gap of -1.1 points, consistent with an UNDER. Our lean is the UNDER 232.5 at 1.940: the odds pay out on our estimate, with a slim edge.
The scenario that sinks the UNDER is an open game: the Pelicans score 122.6 points per game over their last 10 games and allow 123.2, and their pace of 108.4 could pull the Grizzlies into a shootout. We accept that risk, because the Grizzlies score 117.4 points per game and allow 119.3, and their pace of 104.7 remains the slower of the two.
No spread pick. AI trend on the UNDER 232.5 at 1.940, with a slim edge.
Key Factors
| Team | Net Rtg | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| NOP |
-0.8 | 112.7 | 113.5 | 108.4 | 1d |
| MEM |
-1.2 | 112.7 | 113.9 | 104.7 | 1d |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 44 model features (last 5-10 games)
NOP
STAT
MEM
Frequently asked questions
When was NOP @ MEM played?
This NBA game was played on 2026-11-02.
Where can I find the prediction for NOP @ MEM?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
