CHI @ PHI NBA prediction: AI analysis & picks
CHI
PHIOur picks for this match
Game Analysis
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GAME CONTEXT
The Philadelphia 76ers are 6-1 through 7 games this season. Their last game was on October 31, 2026, giving them 1 day of rest. The Chicago Bulls are 1-5 through 6 games, and their last game was on October 30, 2026, giving them 2 days of rest.
KEY ABSENCES
GAME SCRIPT
Expected pace is 106.1, or about 106 possessions per team: a fast pace. The Bulls set the tempo with a pace of 108.9 over their last 10 games, versus 99.6 for the 76ers. Both teams have absences at center and forward, and the uncertainty around Joel Embiid weighs on Philadelphia's frontcourt rotation. No fatigue situation is flagged, but the way the game is shaping up points to a risk of garbage time late.
OUR ANALYSIS
SPREAD: No spread pick: there is no fatigue situation in this game.
TOTALS: The game script starts from a fast pace, pulled upward by the Bulls. Their defense allows 125.8 points per game, and their defensive rating is 115.5 over their last 10 games. The 76ers score 107.1 points per game, trending up, with a defensive rating of 110.3. The Bulls score 116.0 points per game, also trending up. Our read therefore puts the total above the 238.5 line. Our model projects 247.7 points, 9.2 points above the line: the numbers point the same way. Our lean is toward the OVER 238.5 @ 1.920.
The scenario that sinks the OVER is a game played at the 76ers' pace, whose 99.6 pace is the lower of the two teams. A slower, tighter game would pull the total back under the line. We accept that risk, because the Bulls allow 125.8 points per game over their last 10 games, which leaves plenty of points on the board even at a slow pace.
Our lean is toward the OVER 238.5 @ 1.920 (AI TREND), with no spread pick. No staking advice.
Key Factors
| Team | Net Rtg | Off Rtg | Def Rtg | Pace | Rest |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CHI |
-8.9 | 106.6 | 115.5 | 108.9 | 2d |
| PHI |
-2.6 | 107.7 | 110.3 | 99.6 | 1d |
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Head-to-Head
Form & Stats
Team Comparison
8 of 44 model features (last 5-10 games)
CHI
STAT
PHI
Frequently asked questions
When was CHI @ PHI played?
This NBA game was played on 2026-11-02.
Where can I find the prediction for CHI @ PHI?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (totals and spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our NBA statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
