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WSN @ STL MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks

MLB — Regular Season
WSNWSN
WSN
Away
Follow
Cade CavalliRCONFIRMED
xERA 3.71
Last 5 LWWWW
VS
2026-09-18
STLSTL
STL
Home
Follow
Kyle LeahyRCONFIRMED
xERA 4.77
Last 5 LLWWL
Analysis due before first pitch Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
First 5
Full Time · 7.5 1.88
Run line · -1.5 2.88
Multi-bookmaker odds · time-stamped

Our picks for this match

3 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

PROBABLE STARTERS

Home: Kyle Leahy (RHP) — xERA 4.77
Away: Cade Cavalli (RHP) — xERA 3.71

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GAME CONTEXT

Game 1 of a 3-game home series at Busch Stadium (Sept. 18-20). STL (75-78) hosts WSN (71-82), with both clubs well out of playoff contention in the final weeks of the regular season. Roster management and veteran rest days are real possibilities on either side.

KEY ABSENCES

Home (STL): Blaze Jordan (3B — 10-Day IL), Everson Pereira (RF — 10-Day IL), Joshua Baez (LF — Day-to-Day); + 2 on long-term IL.
Away (WSN): Orlando Ribalta (RP — 15-Day IL), Connelly Early (SP — 60-Day IL), DJ Herz (SP — 60-Day IL); + 5 on long-term IL.

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Key Factors

Pitcher hand
RvsR
F5 Over%
57.1%vs33.3%
FT Over%
50.0%vs50.0%
F5 Signal
vs
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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker
Pinnacle (réf.)

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

1WSN
STL2
04/08/26STL @ WSN6 – 1
04/07/26STL @ WSN7 – 6
04/06/26STL @ WSN6 – 9

Form & Stats

Recent Results
WSN
DateGameScore
09/16vs PHI0-3
09/15vs PHI6-3
09/13vs LAA6-5
09/12vs LAA6-5
09/11vs LAA4-3
STL
DateGameScore
09/16vs SFG5-6
09/15vs SFG3-10
09/14vs SFG2-1
09/13vs CHW3-1
09/12vs CHW5-6
Pitcher impact on totals
PitcherStartsF5 vs LineF5 Over%F5 SignalFT vs LineFT Over%FT Signal
Cade Cavalli (AWAY)150.6157.1%-0.0050.0%-
Kyle Leahy (HOME)16-0.7033.3%-0.0050.0%-
Last 5 starts
Cade Cavalli (WSN)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/11LAA6.0023293.00
09/05LAD6.0024083.00
08/29MIA4.0000380.00
08/24COL6.0025173.00
08/19TEX6.00031110.00
Kyle Leahy (STL)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/12CHW3.0002040.00
09/06COL2.67560616.85
08/29PIT3.0014133.00
08/23PHI4.0002240.00
08/18CIN5.0003060.00

Frequently asked questions

When is WSN @ STL played?

This MLB game is scheduled for 2026-09-18.

Where can I find a prediction for WSN @ STL?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for F5 and full-game totals, spreads, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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