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TOR @ BAL MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks

MLB — Regular Season
TORTOR
TOR
Away
★Follow
CJ Van EykRCONFIRMED
xERA 7.11
Last 5 LWLLW
2 — 4
FINAL
2026-09-23
BALBAL
BAL
Home
★Follow
Trey GibsonRCONFIRMED
xERA 6.14
Last 5 WLLLW
Analysis due before first pitch Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
First 5 —
Full Time — -1.0open 8.5
Run line · +1.5 1.48 open -1.5 → 3.5
Multi-bookmaker odds · time-stamped

Our picks for this match

AI Trend TOR +1.5
Model confidence64 %
Odds
1.48
Market
Run Line (Spread)
Taken on 24/09 · 00:00 at odds of 1.48
AI Trend At least 1 run in the 1st inning (YRFI)
Model confidence58 %
Odds
2.05
Market
First Inning (NRFI/YRFI)
Taken on 23/09 · 18:34 at odds of 2.05
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Head-to-Head

3TOR
BAL2
09/21/26TOR @ BAL3 – 4
09/13/26BAL @ TOR1 – 8
09/12/26BAL @ TOR3 – 7
09/11/26BAL @ TOR7 – 4
06/07/26BAL @ TOR4 – 6

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

5 of 39 model features (last 5-10 games)

TOR STAT BAL
7.11
Starter xERA ? Trey Gibson vs CJ Van Eyk — ERA attendue basée sur la qualité des contacts
6.14
81.6
Exit Velocity ? Vitesse de sortie de balle au contact (mph) — qualité du contact offensif
81.5
2
HR (3 matchs) ? Home Runs sur les 3 derniers matchs — puissance récente
2
3.22
Bullpen ERA ? ERA du bullpen sur 14 jours — points mérités par les releveurs
2.17
88.9
Vélocité moy. ? Vélocité moyenne des lancers rencontrés (mph) — calibre des adversaires affrontés
90.2
Recent Results
TOR
DateGameScore
09/21@ BAL3-4
09/20@ TEX7-2
09/19@ TEX2-6
09/18@ TEX1-7
09/16vs DET5-1
BAL
DateGameScore
09/21vs TOR4-3
09/20vs MIL0-3
09/19vs MIL0-1
09/18vs MIL5-6
09/16@ NYM7-1
Last 5 starts
CJ Van Eyk (TOR)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/23BAL5.0044027.20
08/28SEA1.0000100.00
07/28WSN3.3316102.70
07/24BOS0.33240054.55
07/17CHW2.0001010.00
Trey Gibson (BAL)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/23TOR6.6703270.00
06/30CHW2.67876526.97
06/24LAA4.0023254.50
06/19LAD5.0037485.40
06/13SDP4.33635712.47
Line Movement
Full Time
8.5 → 7.5 -1.0
Run line
-1.5 → 3.5 +5.0

Frequently asked questions

When was TOR @ BAL played?

This MLB game was played on 2026-09-23.

Where can I find the prediction for TOR @ BAL?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (F5 and full-game totals, spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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