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TOR @ TEX MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks

MLB — Regular Season
TORTOR
TOR
Away
Follow
Dylan CeaseRCONFIRMED
xERA 2.79
Last 5 WLLWW
VS
2026-09-18
TEXTEX
TEX
Home
Follow
Kumar RockerRCONFIRMED
xERA 4.61
Last 5 LWWWW
Analysis due before first pitch Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
First 5
Full Time · 7.5 1.97
Run line · +1.5 1.70
Multi-bookmaker odds · time-stamped

Our picks for this match

3 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

PROBABLE STARTERS

Home: Kumar Rocker (RHP) — xERA 4.61
Away: Dylan Cease (RHP) — xERA 2.79

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GAME CONTEXT

Series opener of a three-game set in Arlington (Sept. 18–20). Both clubs carry identical 76-77 records into the final stretch of the regular season. Toronto is chasing a postseason spot and opens this road trip needing wins.

KEY ABSENCES

Home (TEX): Joc Pederson (DH, DTD), MacKenzie Gore (SP, DTD), Kyle Higashioka (C, 10-Day IL) + 5 on long-term IL
Away (TOR): Luis Urias (2B, 10-Day IL), Rudy Martin Jr. (RF, 10-Day IL), Jameson Taillon (SP, 15-Day IL) + 5 on long-term IL

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Key Factors

Pitcher hand
RvsR
F5 Over%
46.2%vs46.7%
FT Over%
50.0%vs50.0%
F5 Signal
vsOVER
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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker
Pinnacle (réf.)

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

0TOR
TEX5
06/28/26TEX @ TOR3 – 2
06/27/26TEX @ TOR7 – 4
06/26/26TEX @ TOR5 – 4
06/25/26TEX @ TOR6 – 5
08/17/25TEX @ TOR10 – 4

Form & Stats

Recent Results
TOR
DateGameScore
09/16vs DET5-1
09/15vs DET1-10
09/14vs DET5-6
09/13vs BAL8-1
09/12vs BAL7-3
TEX
DateGameScore
09/17vs BOS3-4
09/16vs BOS7-3
09/15vs BOS4-2
09/13@ ARI7-6
09/12@ ARI6-2
Pitcher impact on totals
PitcherStartsF5 vs LineF5 Over%F5 SignalFT vs LineFT Over%FT Signal
Dylan Cease (AWAY)140.0046.2%-0.0050.0%-
Kumar Rocker (HOME)161.1746.7%OVER0.0050.0%-
Last 5 starts
Dylan Cease (TOR)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/13BAL5.0014591.80
09/07OAK5.0044267.20
09/02CLE6.0004040.00
08/28SEA6.0014181.50
08/22NYY6.6712581.35
Kumar Rocker (TEX)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/12ARI4.0012252.25
09/04TBR5.0059039.00
08/30MIL3.0024476.00
08/24CHW5.6725383.17
08/19WSN5.0026133.60

Frequently asked questions

When is TOR @ TEX played?

This MLB game is scheduled for 2026-09-18.

Where can I find a prediction for TOR @ TEX?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for F5 and full-game totals, spreads, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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