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SFG @ LAD MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks

MLB — Regular Season
SFGSFG
SFG
Away
Follow
Cesar PerdomoLCONFIRMED
xERA 4.36
Last 5 WWLLL
VS
2026-09-18
LADLAD
LAD
Home
Follow
Tyler GlasnowRCONFIRMED
xERA 3.11
Last 5 WLWWL
Analysis due before first pitch Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
First 5
Full Time · 8.0 1.98
Run line · +1.5 2.14
Multi-bookmaker odds · time-stamped

Our picks for this match

3 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

PROBABLE STARTERS

Home: Tyler Glasnow (RHP) — xERA 3.11
Away: Cesar Perdomo (LHP) — xERA 4.36

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GAME CONTEXT

Series opener of a three-game set between the San Francisco Giants and the Los Angeles Dodgers, two long-standing NL West rivals. The Dodgers stand at 93-60, while the Giants sit at 64-89. The game airs exclusively on Apple TV — LAD's 17th and final national exclusive of the regular season.

KEY ABSENCES

Home (LAD): Blake Snell (SP — Day-to-Day), Andy Pages (CF — 10-Day IL), Dalton Rushing (C — 10-Day IL) + 5 additional players on IL
Away (SFG): Marcelo Mayer (2B — 10-Day IL), Victor Bericoto (LF — 10-Day IL), Willy Adames (SS — 10-Day IL) + 5 additional players on IL

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Key Factors

Pitcher hand
LvsR
F5 Over%
vs50.0%
FT Over%
vs50.0%
F5 Signal
vs
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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker
Pinnacle (réf.)

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

2SFG
LAD3
05/14/26SFG @ LAD2 – 5
05/13/26SFG @ LAD0 – 4
05/12/26SFG @ LAD6 – 2
05/11/26SFG @ LAD9 – 3
04/23/26LAD @ SFG3 – 0

Form & Stats

Recent Results
SFG
DateGameScore
09/16@ STL6-5
09/15@ STL10-3
09/14@ STL1-2
09/13vs SDP4-6
09/12vs SDP6-7
LAD
DateGameScore
09/17@ CIN8-2
09/16@ CIN2-6
09/15@ CIN4-0
09/14@ CIN4-1
09/13@ MIA4-6
Pitcher impact on totals
PitcherStartsF5 vs LineF5 Over%F5 SignalFT vs LineFT Over%FT Signal
Tyler Glasnow (HOME)9-0.2550.0%-0.0050.0%-
Last 5 starts
Cesar Perdomo (SFG)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/12SDP4.67510239.64
09/06NYM6.0003140.00
09/01PIT4.0013142.25
Tyler Glasnow (LAD)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/12MIA4.0045479.00
09/05WSN6.0046386.00
08/30DET7.0012161.29
08/25ATL5.0036075.40
05/06HOU1.0011029.00

Frequently asked questions

When is SFG @ LAD played?

This MLB game is scheduled for 2026-09-18.

Where can I find a prediction for SFG @ LAD?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for F5 and full-game totals, spreads, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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