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NYY @ ARI MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks

MLB — Regular Season
NYYNYY
NYY
Away
Follow
Cam SchlittlerRCONFIRMED
xERA 2.86
Last 5 WLWWW
VS
2026-09-19
ARIARI
ARI
Home
Follow
Brandon PfaadtRCONFIRMED
xERA 3.85
Last 5 LLLWL
Analysis due before first pitch Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
First 5
Full Time
Run line · -1.5 2.26 open 1.5 → -3.5
Multi-bookmaker odds · time-stamped

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

PROBABLE STARTERS

Home: Brandon Pfaadt (RHP) — xERA 3.85
Away: Cam Schlittler (RHP) — xERA 2.86

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GAME CONTEXT

The New York Yankees (89-64) and the Arizona Diamondbacks (80-74) meet at Chase Field for the second game of this series. New York dominated the opener yesterday (9-2) and looks to tighten its grip on the series. Arizona, at home, needs a bounce-back to avoid falling 0-2.

KEY ABSENCES

Home (ARI): A.J. Puk (RP), Andrew Saalfrank (RP), Cristian Mena (RP) + 2 on long-term IL
Away (NYY): Aaron Judge (RF), Giancarlo Stanton (DH), Jazz Chisholm Jr. (2B) + 4 others out

Full analysis and verdict

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Key Factors

Pitcher hand
RvsR
F5 Over%
12.5%vs44.4%
FT Over%
50.0%vs50.0%
F5 Signal
UNDERvs
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Hoodie « Ça passait laaarge » Tee « Sponsor officiel de mon bookmaker » Mug « Une coupe de champagne » Casquette ProbWin Carnet de Bankroll Tee « Ça passait laaarge » Tee ProbWin logo

Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker Full Time OVER Full Time UNDER First 5 OVER First 5 UNDER Spreads HOME Spreads AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.) 1.91@7.5 1.98@7.5 1.90@4.0 1.97@4.0 1.57@1.5 2.56@1.5
1xBet 1.92@7.5 2.00@7.5 1.62@1.5 2.49@1.5
888sport 1.85@7.5 1.91@7.5 1.53@1.5 2.50@1.5
Betsson 1.82@7.5 1.95@7.5 1.54@1.5 2.42@1.5
Coolbet 1.89@7.5 1.92@7.5 1.54@1.5 2.50@1.5
BetVictor 1.85@7.5 1.91@7.5 1.53@1.5 2.45@1.5
Coral 1.91@8.0 1.83@8.0 5.25@-3.5 1.13@-3.5
Ladbrokes 1.91@8.0 1.83@8.0 5.25@-3.5 1.13@-3.5
PMU 1.74@7.5 1.82@7.5

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

1NYY
ARI0
09/18/26NYY @ ARI9 – 2

Form & Stats

Recent Results
NYY
DateGameScore
09/18@ ARI9-2
09/16@ MIN4-5
09/15@ MIN8-1
09/14@ MIN8-3
09/13vs NYM2-0
ARI
DateGameScore
09/18vs NYY2-9
09/16vs MIA3-4
09/15vs MIA2-4
09/14vs MIA8-7
09/13vs TEX6-7
Pitcher impact on totals
PitcherStartsF5 vs LineF5 Over%F5 SignalFT vs LineFT Over%FT Signal
Cam Schlittler (AWAY)21-1.3412.5%UNDER0.0050.0%-
Brandon Pfaadt (HOME)10-0.2844.4%-0.0050.0%-
Last 5 starts
Cam Schlittler (NYY)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/13NYM6.0001280.00
09/08COL7.00130101.29
09/02LAA8.0012091.13
08/28BOS5.6702580.00
08/21TOR6.0016341.50
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/12TEX6.67610078.10
09/05HOU6.3337244.27
08/31PHI6.0025113.00
08/25CHC6.6746235.40
08/19BOS5.6757087.94
Line Movement
Run line
1.5 -3.5 -5.0

Frequently asked questions

When is NYY @ ARI played?

This MLB game is scheduled for 2026-09-19.

Where can I find a prediction for NYY @ ARI?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for F5 and full-game totals, spreads, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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