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NYY @ ARI MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks

MLB — Regular Season
NYYNYY
NYY
Away
Follow
Gerrit ColeRCONFIRMED
xERA 3.85
Last 5 LWWWL
VS
2026-09-18
ARIARI
ARI
Home
Follow
Eduardo RodriguezLCONFIRMED
xERA 4.24
Last 5 LLWLL
Analysis due before first pitch Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
First 5
Full Time
Run line · -1.5 2.36
Multi-bookmaker odds · time-stamped

Our picks for this match

1 AI pick on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

LANCEURS CONFIRMÉS

Domicile : Eduardo Rodriguez (gaucher / LHP) — xERA 4.24
Extérieur : Gerrit Cole (droitier / RHP) — xERA 3.85

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CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Les New York Yankees (88-64) entament une série de trois matchs à Chase Field face aux Arizona Diamondbacks (80-73) à une semaine de la fin de saison régulière. New York arrive en Arizona avec 3 victoires sur leurs 5 derniers matchs, tandis qu'Arizona n'a remporté qu'une seule de ses cinq dernières sorties.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

Domicile (ARI) : A.J. Puk (RP — 60-Day-IL), Andrew Saalfrank (RP — 60-Day-IL), Cristian Mena (RP — 60-Day-IL) + 2 absents longue durée
Extérieur (NYY) : Aaron Judge (RF — Day-To-Day, retour estimé 18/09), Jazz Chisholm Jr. (2B — 10-Day-IL), Trent Grisham (CF — 10-Day-IL) + 4 absents longue durée

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Key Factors

Pitcher hand
RvsL
F5 Over%
27.3%vs47.1%
FT Over%
50.0%vs50.0%
F5 Signal
UNDERvs
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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker
Pinnacle (réf.)

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Form & Stats

Recent Results
NYY
DateGameScore
09/16@ MIN4-5
09/15@ MIN8-1
09/14@ MIN8-3
09/13vs NYM2-0
09/12vs NYM2-12
ARI
DateGameScore
09/16vs MIA3-4
09/15vs MIA2-4
09/14vs MIA8-7
09/13vs TEX6-7
09/12vs TEX2-6
Pitcher impact on totals
PitcherStartsF5 vs LineF5 Over%F5 SignalFT vs LineFT Over%FT Signal
Gerrit Cole (AWAY)12-0.9527.3%UNDER0.0050.0%-
Eduardo Rodriguez (HOME)18-0.5047.1%-0.0050.0%-
Last 5 starts
Gerrit Cole (NYY)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/12NYM4.33590410.39
09/06SDP7.0046035.14
09/01LAA5.3338155.07
08/27HOU6.0036154.50
08/20BAL6.0014181.50
Eduardo Rodriguez (ARI)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/13TEX5.3338175.07
09/06HOU6.0013261.50
09/01PHI5.0038335.40
08/26CHC7.0002390.00
08/21CIN5.6704240.00

Frequently asked questions

When is NYY @ ARI played?

This MLB game is scheduled for 2026-09-18.

Where can I find a prediction for NYY @ ARI?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for F5 and full-game totals, spreads, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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