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NYM @ WSN MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks

MLB — Regular Season
NYMNYM
NYM
Away
★Follow
Jonah TongRCONFIRMED
xERA 3.36
Last 5 LLWWL
VS
2026-09-26
WSNWSN
WSN
Home
★Follow
Connelly EarlyRCONFIRMED
xERA 5.18
Last 5 WWWLL
Analysis due before first pitch Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
First 5 · 4.5 Over1.98Under1.89
Full Time · 8.5 Over2.07Under1.96
Run line · ±1.5 WSN1.72NYM2.56
1st inning YRFI1.94NRFI1.92
Market odds, multi-bookmaker · both sides

Our picks for this match

1 AI pick on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Analysis pending

Pitchers

Predictions are generated once the starting pitchers are confirmed. Check back a few hours before the game for the complete picks.

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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker Full Time OVER Full Time UNDER First 5 OVER First 5 UNDER Spreads HOME Spreads AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.) 1.93@8.0 1.96@8.0 1.98@4.5 1.89@4.5 1.57@-1.5 2.56@-1.5
1xBet 2.07@8.5 1.86@8.5 — — 1.72@-1.5 2.27@-1.5
888sport 2.00@8.5 1.80@8.5 — — 1.65@-1.5 2.25@-1.5
Betsson 1.83@8.0 1.93@8.0 — — 1.66@-1.5 2.17@-1.5
Coolbet 1.89@8.0 1.92@8.0 — — 1.54@-1.5 2.50@-1.5
LeoVegas 1.92@8.5 1.85@8.5 — — 1.53@-1.5 2.45@-1.5
BetVictor 1.93@8.5 1.83@8.5 — — 1.61@-1.5 2.20@-1.5
Coral 1.85@8.0 1.85@8.0 — — 5.25@3.5 1.13@3.5
Ladbrokes 1.85@8.0 1.85@8.0 — — 5.25@3.5 1.13@3.5
PMU 1.76@8.0 1.80@8.0 — — — —

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

4NYM
WSN1
09/25/26NYM @ WSN6 – 7
08/16/26WSN @ NYM3 – 4
08/15/26WSN @ NYM4 – 5
08/14/26WSN @ NYM1 – 4
05/21/26NYM @ WSN2 – 1

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

7 of 39 model features (last 5-10 games)

NYM STAT WSN
3.36
Starter xERA ? Jake Irvin vs Jonah Tong — ERA attendue basée sur la qualité des contacts
5.18
84.4
Exit Velocity ? Vitesse de sortie de balle au contact (mph) — qualité du contact offensif
84.6
6
HR (3 matchs) ? Home Runs sur les 3 derniers matchs — puissance récente
8
0.346
wOBA vs SP ? wOBA de la lineup contre le type de lanceur adverse (L/R matchup)
0.291
21.2%
K Rate vs SP ? Taux de strikeouts contre le type de lanceur adverse — vulnérabilité offensive
21.2%
9.7%
BB Rate vs SP ? Taux de walks contre le type de lanceur adverse — discipline au bâton
6.8%
89.7
Vélocité moy. ? Vélocité moyenne des lancers rencontrés (mph) — calibre des adversaires affrontés
88.5
Recent Results
NYM
DateGameScore
09/25@ WSN6-7
09/24@ TEX1-3
09/23@ TEX7-2
09/22@ TEX6-3
09/20vs PHI2-7
WSN
DateGameScore
09/25vs NYM7-6
09/23@ DET4-2
09/22@ DET3-1
09/21@ DET2-9
09/20@ STL3-5
Last 5 starts
Jonah Tong (NYM)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/20PHI4.6745457.71
09/14BAL6.0004160.00
09/07MIA5.0044177.20
06/02SEA3.33452410.81
05/27CIN3.6703410.00
Connelly Early (WSN)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
06/30WSN4.0003250.00
06/25NYY6.0025193.00
06/20SEA6.0012271.50
06/14TEX4.676112311.56
06/08TBR4.6725463.85
Line Movement
Lines stable since open — no significant movement.

Frequently asked questions

When is NYM @ WSN played?

This MLB game is scheduled for 2026-09-26.

Where can I find a prediction for NYM @ WSN?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for F5 and full-game totals, spreads, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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