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MIA @ SDP MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks

MLB — Regular Season
MIAMIA
MIA
Away
Follow
Tyler PhillipsRCONFIRMED
xERA 4.70
Last 5 WWLWW
VS
2026-09-18
SDPSDP
SDP
Home
Follow
Nick PivettaRCONFIRMED
xERA 2.86
Last 5 WWLWW
Analysis due before first pitch Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
First 5
Full Time
Run line · +1.5 1.77
Multi-bookmaker odds · time-stamped

Our picks for this match

1 AI pick on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

PROBABLE STARTERS

Home: Nick Pivetta (RHP) — xERA 2.86
Away: Tyler Phillips (RHP) — xERA 4.70

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GAME CONTEXT

Series opener of a three-game set at Petco Park (September 18-20) between San Diego (84-69) and Miami (76-77). The Marlins arrive on the road following a trip to Arizona.

KEY ABSENCES

Home (SDP): Gavin Sheets (1B), Miguel Andujar (DH), Jeremiah Estrada (RP) — + 5 others out
Away (MIA): Owen Caissie (RF), Anthony Bender (RP), Max Meyer (SP) — + 5 others out

Full analysis and verdict

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Key Factors

Pitcher hand
RvsR
F5 Over%
57.1%vs
FT Over%
50.0%vs
F5 Signal
OVERvs
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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker
Pinnacle (réf.)

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

0MIA
SDP3
07/26/26SDP @ MIA5 – 3
07/25/26SDP @ MIA7 – 2
07/24/26SDP @ MIA4 – 2

Form & Stats

Recent Results
MIA
DateGameScore
09/16@ ARI4-3
09/15@ ARI4-2
09/14@ ARI7-8
09/13vs LAD6-4
09/12vs LAD4-3
SDP
DateGameScore
09/17@ COL9-2
09/16@ COL9-3
09/15@ COL3-9
09/14@ COL8-7
09/13@ SFG6-4
Pitcher impact on totals
PitcherStartsF5 vs LineF5 Over%F5 SignalFT vs LineFT Over%FT Signal
Tyler Phillips (AWAY)81.1457.1%OVER0.0050.0%-
Last 5 starts
Tyler Phillips (MIA)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/12LAD3.6722334.90
09/06CHC5.0035135.40
09/01KCR5.0001240.00
08/25BOS4.6713371.93
08/18PHI2.0012234.50
Nick Pivetta (SDP)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/13SFG4.0025054.50
09/07WSN5.0002020.00
04/12COL3.0000040.00
04/07PIT5.0024183.60
04/01SFG5.0001280.00

Frequently asked questions

When is MIA @ SDP played?

This MLB game is scheduled for 2026-09-18.

Where can I find a prediction for MIA @ SDP?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for F5 and full-game totals, spreads, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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