LAD @ MIA MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks
MLB — Regular Season
6
—
2
FINAL
2026-09-11
Analysis due before first pitch
Time-stamped odds (CLV)
Transparent methodology
First 5
—
Full Time
—
Run line · +1.5
2.04
Multi-bookmaker odds · time-stamped
Our picks for this match
Official
MIA +1.5
Model confidence59 %
CautiousHigh
Pick taken on 11/09 à 15:00 — odds at the time: 2.04 (CLV tracking)
AI Trend
No run in the 1st inning (NRFI)
Model confidence53 %
CautiousHigh
Edge vs market
-6.5 %
Odds
1.68
Market
First Inning (NRFI/YRFI)
Pick taken on 11/09 à 00:34 — odds at the time: 1.68 (CLV tracking)
Key Factors
Pitcher hand
—vsR
F5 Over%
—vs40.0%
FT Over%
—vs50.0%
F5 Signal
—vsOVER
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Head-to-Head
2LAD
MIA3
04/29/26MIA @ LAD3 – 2
04/28/26MIA @ LAD2 – 1
04/27/26MIA @ LAD4 – 5
05/07/25LAD @ MIA10 – 1
05/06/25LAD @ MIA4 – 5
Form & Stats
Recent Results
LAD
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | vs CIN | 14-1 |
| 09/08 | vs CIN | 3-2 |
| 09/07 | vs CIN | 6-3 |
| 09/06 | vs WSN | 7-5 |
| 09/05 | vs WSN | 6-5 |
MIA
| Date | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|
| 09/09 | vs NYM | 14-15 |
| 09/08 | vs NYM | 5-7 |
| 09/07 | vs NYM | 4-9 |
| 09/06 | vs CHC | 10-3 |
| 09/05 | vs CHC | 5-6 |
Pitcher impact on totals
| Pitcher | Starts | F5 vs Line | F5 Over% | F5 Signal | FT vs Line | FT Over% | FT Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Gusto (HOME) | 12 | 0.85 | 40.0% | OVER | 0.00 | 50.0% | - |
Last 5 starts
Ryan Gusto (MIA)
| Date | vs | IP | ER | H | BB | K | ERA |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/16 | ARI | 4.33 | 2 | 8 | 1 | 4 | 4.16 |
| 09/11 | LAD | 6.00 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 3.00 |
| 09/05 | CHC | 4.67 | 5 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 9.64 |
| 08/31 | WSN | 4.33 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 2.08 |
| 08/26 | BOS | 5.67 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 0.00 |
Line Movement
Lines stable since open — no significant movement.
Frequently asked questions
When was LAD @ MIA played?
This MLB game was played on 2026-09-11.
Where can I find the prediction for LAD @ MIA?
This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (F5 and full-game totals, spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.
How are these predictions calculated?
Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.
