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CHC @ CIN MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks

MLB — Regular Season
CHCCHC
CHC
Away
Follow
Matthew BoydLCONFIRMED
xERA 4.67
Last 5 LWLWL
VS
2026-09-19
CINCIN
CIN
Home
Follow
Nick LodoloLCONFIRMED
xERA 6.32
Last 5 WLWLL
Analysis due before first pitch Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
First 5 +0.5open 4.0
Full Time +1.0open 8.5
Run line · -1.5 2.17
Multi-bookmaker odds · time-stamped

Our picks for this match

2 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
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Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

LANCEURS CONFIRMÉS

Domicile : Nick Lodolo (gaucher) — xERA 6.32
Extérieur : Matthew Boyd (gaucher) — xERA 4.67

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CONTEXTE DU MATCH

Chicago (85-69) et Cincinnati (72-82) se retrouvent à Great American Ball Park pour leur deuxième match consécutif. Les Cubs, en course directe pour une place en Wild Card en fin de saison régulière, cherchent à rebondir après leur défaite du 18 septembre (4-6). Cincinnati avait dominé ce premier match et se présente avec l'élan du vainqueur.

ABSENCES NOTABLES

Domicile (CIN) : Julian Garcia (RP), Blake Dunn (CF), Hunter Greene (SP) + 2 absents longue durée
Extérieur (CHC) : Gavin Hollowell (RP), Trent Thornton (RP), Ben Brown (RP) + 5 absents longue durée

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Key Factors

Pitcher hand
LvsL
F5 Over%
40.0%vs27.3%
FT Over%
50.0%vs50.0%
F5 Signal
vs
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Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker Full Time OVER Full Time UNDER First 5 OVER First 5 UNDER Spreads HOME Spreads AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.) 1.89@9.5 1.98@9.5 1.88@4.0 1.99@4.0 1.75@-1.5 2.18@-1.5
1xBet 1.92@9.5 2.00@9.5 1.77@-1.5 2.19@-1.5
888sport 1.91@9.5 1.85@9.5 1.67@-1.5 2.20@-1.5
Betsson 1.83@9.5 1.93@9.5 1.68@-1.5 2.13@-1.5
Coolbet 1.89@8.5 1.92@8.5 1.71@-1.5 2.15@-1.5
LeoVegas 1.88@8.5 1.90@8.5 1.72@-1.5 2.10@-1.5
BetVictor 1.87@9.5 1.87@9.5 1.67@-1.5 2.10@-1.5
Coral 1.83@9.5 1.91@9.5 1.70@-1.5 2.10@-1.5
Ladbrokes 1.83@9.5 1.91@9.5 1.70@-1.5 2.10@-1.5
PMU 1.85@9.0 1.71@9.0

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

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Head-to-Head

2CHC
CIN3
09/18/26CHC @ CIN4 – 6
08/30/26CIN @ CHC7 – 5
08/29/26CIN @ CHC5 – 17
08/28/26CIN @ CHC10 – 8
07/12/26CHC @ CIN8 – 4

Form & Stats

Recent Results
CHC
DateGameScore
09/18@ CIN4-6
09/16vs ATL8-4
09/15vs ATL3-6
09/14vs ATL7-3
09/13vs PIT3-4
CIN
DateGameScore
09/18vs CHC6-4
09/17vs LAD2-8
09/16vs LAD6-2
09/15vs LAD0-4
09/14vs LAD1-4
Pitcher impact on totals
PitcherStartsF5 vs LineF5 Over%F5 SignalFT vs LineFT Over%FT Signal
Matthew Boyd (AWAY)14-0.7540.0%-0.0050.0%-
Nick Lodolo (HOME)14-0.6827.3%-0.0050.0%-
Last 5 starts
Matthew Boyd (CHC)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/13PIT5.3347236.75
09/07MIL7.0035273.86
09/01MIL5.3337135.07
08/26ARI6.0013251.50
08/21SEA6.0046236.00
Nick Lodolo (CIN)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/14LAD7.0043445.14
09/08LAD4.6735365.78
09/01SDP6.0025253.00
08/26SFG4.0046259.00
08/21ARI3.336102216.22
Line Movement
First 5
4.0 4.5 +0.5
Full Time
8.5 9.5 +1.0

Frequently asked questions

When is CHC @ CIN played?

This MLB game is scheduled for 2026-09-19.

Where can I find a prediction for CHC @ CIN?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for F5 and full-game totals, spreads, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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