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BOS @ TBR MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks

MLB — Regular Season
BOSBOS
BOS
Away
★Follow
Brayan BelloRCONFIRMED
xERA 4.98
Last 5 WWLLW
1 — 2
FINAL
2026-09-19
TBRTBR
TBR
Home
★Follow
Freddy PeraltaRCONFIRMED
xERA 3.83
Last 5 LWWWW
Analysis due before first pitch Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
First 5 —
Full Time —
Run line · -1.5 2.52
Multi-bookmaker odds · time-stamped

Our picks for this match

Official pick TBR -1.5
Model confidence41 %
Odds
2.52
Market
Run Line (Spread)
Suggested stake
1.5 u Kelly ↗
Taken on 19/09 · 18:00 at odds of 2.52
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Head-to-Head

5BOS
TBR0
09/18/26BOS @ TBR4 – 2
07/19/26TBR @ BOS1 – 6
07/18/26TBR @ BOS6 – 7
07/17/26TBR @ BOS3 – 5
07/17/26TBR @ BOS0 – 10

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

4 of 39 model features (last 5-10 games)

BOS STAT TBR
4.98
Starter xERA ? Freddy Peralta vs Brayan Bello — ERA attendue basée sur la qualité des contacts
3.83
81.1
Exit Velocity ? Vitesse de sortie de balle au contact (mph) — qualité du contact offensif
80.6
6
HR (3 matchs) ? Home Runs sur les 3 derniers matchs — puissance récente
2
89.0
Vélocité moy. ? Vélocité moyenne des lancers rencontrés (mph) — calibre des adversaires affrontés
89.8
Recent Results
BOS
DateGameScore
09/18@ TBR4-2
09/17@ TEX4-3
09/16@ TEX3-7
09/15@ TEX2-4
09/13vs KCR4-1
TBR
DateGameScore
09/18vs BOS2-4
09/17vs OAK10-1
09/16vs OAK4-3
09/15vs OAK2-1
09/13vs HOU14-4
Last 5 starts
Brayan Bello (BOS)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/25CHC4.0004120.00
09/19TBR8.00150111.13
09/15TEX1.6700020.00
09/07LAA5.0004270.00
09/02SEA3.00472012.00
Freddy Peralta (TBR)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/25PHI5.3304340.00
09/19BOS5.6714261.59
09/13HOU5.0000340.00
09/08ATL6.0015121.50
09/01NYM6.0013071.50
Line Movement
Lines stable since open — no significant movement.

Frequently asked questions

When was BOS @ TBR played?

This MLB game was played on 2026-09-19.

Where can I find the prediction for BOS @ TBR?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (F5 and full-game totals, spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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