Free signup + 7 days PRO included Create my account

BOS @ TBR MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks

MLB — Regular Season
BOSBOS
BOS
Away
Follow
Ranger SuarezLCONFIRMED
xERA 3.69
Last 5 WLLWW
VS
2026-09-18
TBRTBR
TBR
Home
Follow
Ian SeymourLCONFIRMED
xERA 3.48
Last 5 WWWWW
Analysis due before first pitch Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
First 5 · 4.0 1.90
Full Time
Run line · -1.5 2.78 open -1.5 → 1.5
Multi-bookmaker odds · time-stamped

Our picks for this match

3 AI picks on this match Model confidence, edge vs market and odds — members only.
Unlock · 7-day free trial

Our Expert Analysis

AI Analysis

PROBABLE STARTERS

Home: Ian Seymour (LHP) — xERA 3.48
Away: Ranger Suarez (LHP) — xERA 3.69

Picks and recommendations

Create a free account to unlock our picks and full analysis.

7-day free trial

GAME CONTEXT

Tampa Bay (93-59) hosts Boston (83-70) in Game 1 of a three-game AL East divisional series to close out the regular season. The Rays bring a six-game winning streak into this home stand. The Red Sox wrap up a road trip in hostile territory, with late-season division positioning on the line.

KEY ABSENCES

Home: Ben Williamson (2B), Garrett Cleavinger (RP), Manuel Rodriguez (RP) + 5 on IL
Away: Aroldis Chapman (RP), Willson Contreras (1B), Anthony Seigler (2B) + 5 on IL

Full analysis and verdict

Create a free account to unlock our picks and full analysis.

7-day free trial

Key Factors

Pitcher hand
LvsL
F5 Over%
35.7%vs44.4%
FT Over%
50.0%vs50.0%
F5 Signal
vs
Le vestiaire ProbWin La boutique →
Hoodie « Ça passait laaarge » Tee « Sponsor officiel de mon bookmaker » Mug « Une coupe de champagne » Casquette ProbWin Carnet de Bankroll Tee « Ça passait laaarge » Tee ProbWin logo

Odds Comparison

Comparer les cotes

Bookmaker Full Time OVER Full Time UNDER Spreads HOME Spreads AWAY
Pinnacle (réf.)
1xBet 2.07@7.5 1.86@7.5 2.68@1.5 1.54@1.5
888sport 2.05@7.5 1.75@7.5 1.47@-1.5 2.65@-1.5
LeoVegas 1.95@7.5 1.80@7.5 2.50@1.5 1.47@1.5
BetVictor 2.00@7.5 1.75@7.5 2.60@1.5 1.45@1.5
Coral 1.95@7.5 1.80@7.5 1.44@-1.5 2.62@-1.5
Ladbrokes 1.95@7.5 1.80@7.5 1.44@-1.5 2.62@-1.5

Cotes pré-match indicatives — la meilleure cote est en vert.

Full access to the analysis

Unlock all picks and the full analysis

The verdict on every market, the full written analysis, line-ups, injuries, referee and odds from 11 bookmakers — no commitment.

Trial
7 days
Free
Get started →
No credit card
POPULAR
Day Pass
2,99€
24h access
Unlock today →
No renewal
PRO
19€/mo
All picks
See pricing →
1-click cancel

Secure Stripe payment — Analysis independent from the betting market

Head-to-Head

4BOS
TBR1
07/19/26TBR @ BOS1 – 6
07/18/26TBR @ BOS6 – 7
07/17/26TBR @ BOS3 – 5
07/17/26TBR @ BOS0 – 10
06/10/26BOS @ TBR5 – 7

Form & Stats

Recent Results
BOS
DateGameScore
09/17@ TEX4-3
09/16@ TEX3-7
09/15@ TEX2-4
09/13vs KCR4-1
09/12vs KCR5-1
TBR
DateGameScore
09/17vs OAK10-1
09/16vs OAK4-3
09/15vs OAK2-1
09/13vs HOU14-4
09/12vs HOU3-2
Pitcher impact on totals
PitcherStartsF5 vs LineF5 Over%F5 SignalFT vs LineFT Over%FT Signal
Ranger Suarez (AWAY)15-0.6135.7%-0.0050.0%-
Ian Seymour (HOME)100.1744.4%-0.0050.0%-
Last 5 starts
Ranger Suarez (BOS)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/12KCR7.0015081.29
09/04BAL7.0005130.00
08/30NYY5.33692210.13
08/24MIA5.0014441.80
08/18ARI5.3344236.75
Ian Seymour (TBR)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/12HOU6.00241103.00
09/06TEX3.0035129.00
08/31NYM6.33360104.27
08/25DET5.6737054.76
08/20TOR5.0036185.40
Line Movement
Run line
-1.5 1.5 +3.0

Frequently asked questions

When is BOS @ TBR played?

This MLB game is scheduled for 2026-09-18.

Where can I find a prediction for BOS @ TBR?

This ProbWin page shows our model's probabilities for F5 and full-game totals, spreads, the key stats for both sides and, on game day, a full written analysis. Every prediction is then settled in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

GAMBLING PROHIBITED FOR MINORS. Gambling carries risks: debt, addiction, social isolation. Help & responsible play · BeGambleAware · GamCare: 0808 802 0133 · NCPG Helpline: 1-800-522-4700