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ARI @ SDP MLB prediction: AI analysis & picks

MLB — Regular Season
ARIARI
ARI
Away
★Follow
Brandon PfaadtRCONFIRMED
xERA 3.86
Last 5 WWWWW
11 — 4
FINAL
2026-09-25
SDPSDP
SDP
Home
★Follow
Pitcher TBD
Last 5 WWLWW
Analysis due before first pitch Time-stamped odds (CLV) Transparent methodology
First 5 — +0.5open 4.0
Full Time — +0.5open 7.5
Run line · -1.5 2.63 open -1.5 → 1.5
Multi-bookmaker odds · time-stamped

Our picks for this match

Official pick SDP -1.5
Model confidence41 %
Odds
2.63
Market
Run Line (Spread)
Suggested stake
1.0 u Kelly ↗
Taken on 25/09 · 22:00 at odds of 2.63

Key Factors

Pitcher hand
Rvs—
F5 Over%
55.6%vs—
FT Over%
50.0%vs—
F5 Signal
—vs—
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Head-to-Head

3ARI
SDP2
08/06/26SDP @ ARI5 – 1
08/05/26SDP @ ARI4 – 10
08/04/26SDP @ ARI9 – 4
08/03/26SDP @ ARI1 – 5
07/09/26ARI @ SDP3 – 1

Form & Stats

Team Comparison

3 of 39 model features (last 5-10 games)

ARI STAT SDP
88.0
Exit Velocity ? Vitesse de sortie de balle au contact (mph) — qualité du contact offensif
81.4
6
HR (3 matchs) ? Home Runs sur les 3 derniers matchs — puissance récente
8
90.1
Vélocité moy. ? Vélocité moyenne des lancers rencontrés (mph) — calibre des adversaires affrontés
91.4
Recent Results
ARI
DateGameScore
09/24@ COL12-8
09/23@ COL5-3
09/22@ COL7-2
09/20vs NYY8-4
09/19vs NYY5-3
SDP
DateGameScore
09/24@ LAD4-2
09/23@ LAD5-1
09/22@ LAD0-7
09/20vs MIA7-3
09/19vs MIA7-6
Pitcher impact on totals
PitcherStartsF5 vs LineF5 Over%F5 SignalFT vs LineFT Over%FT Signal
Brandon Pfaadt (AWAY)90.3355.6%-0.0050.0%-
Last 5 starts
Brandon Pfaadt (ARI)
DatevsIPERHBBKERA
09/25SDP7.6749274.69
09/19NYY4.3314132.08
09/12TEX6.67610078.10
09/05HOU6.3337244.27
08/31PHI6.0025113.00
Line Movement
First 5
4.0 → 4.5 +0.5
Full Time
7.5 → 8.0 +0.5
Run line
-1.5 → 1.5 +3.0

Frequently asked questions

When was ARI @ SDP played?

This MLB game was played on 2026-09-25.

Where can I find the prediction for ARI @ SDP?

This ProbWin page shows the predictions our model published before the game (F5 and full-game totals, spreads), the key stats for both sides, and the settled result — every prediction is kept, win or lose, in our public track record.

How are these predictions calculated?

Our MLB statistical models are trained on league history and recomputed daily from team and player stats plus market odds. Every prediction is published before the game and its result is settled publicly.

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